Predictions › United States › Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction

Mountain America Stadium

Colorado BuffaloesAway
18.6 : 32.7
projected points
Arizona State Sun DevilsHome
18%Colorado
82%Arizona St
Eagle safe pickArizona St to win
-448

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 82% chance. We project Colorado Buffaloes 18.6 and Arizona State Sun Devils 32.7. Our best bet is Arizona St to win at -448.

Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Colorado Buffaloes 19, Arizona State Sun Devils 33
Projected total
51.4 points
Best bet
Arizona St to win at -448

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arizona St to win
82% chanceFair price -4482 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arizona State Sun Devils 82% and Colorado Buffaloes 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 3 of their last 5 and Colorado Buffaloes won 0 of their last 5. Arizona State Sun Devils come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Colorado Buffaloes won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arizona State Sun Devils score 27.4 points a game and let in 26.9. Colorado Buffaloes score 20.1 and let in 31.9. Their recent games average 54.3 and 52.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Arizona State Sun Devils won 1 and Colorado Buffaloes won 0. The last one ended Colorado Buffaloes 17, Arizona State Sun Devils 42.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Arizona St to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils: Arizona State Sun Devils are favourites

The big picture

Arizona State Sun Devils host Colorado Buffaloes in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 19:30 at Mountain America Stadium. Our prediction for Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 82% chance. We project Colorado Buffaloes 18.6 and Arizona State Sun Devils 32.7. Our best bet is Arizona St to win at -448.

Arizona State Sun Devils form

Arizona State Sun Devils have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 493 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Colorado Buffaloes form

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 13 losses in their last 17 games, with 341 points scored and 543 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Arizona State Sun Devils won 1, Colorado Buffaloes won 0. Last time out it finished Colorado Buffaloes 17, Arizona State Sun Devils 42.

Our call

We expect Colorado Buffaloes to score about 18.6 points and Arizona State Sun Devils about 32.7. That points to Arizona State Sun Devils to win. Our safest bet is Arizona St to win at -448.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

Arizona StColorado
Games played1817
Wins114
Losses713
Points scored493341
Points conceded484543
Scored per game27.420.1
Conceded per game26.931.9
Home record7W 3L3W 5L
Away record4W 4L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arizona St spreadCoversFair
Arizona St -21.532%+211
Arizona St -17.542%+141
Arizona St -14.549%+104
Arizona St -11.556%-129
Arizona St -7.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.557%43%
51.550%50%
54.542%58%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arizona St +3.5 wins if Arizona St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Our prediction for Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 82% chance. We project Colorado Buffaloes 18.6 and Arizona State Sun Devils 32.7. Our best bet is Arizona St to win at -448.

What is the projected score for Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

We project Colorado Buffaloes 18.6 and Arizona State Sun Devils 32.7, about 51.4 points in total.

How are Arizona State Sun Devils playing?

Arizona State Sun Devils have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 493 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Colorado Buffaloes playing?

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 13 losses in their last 17 games, with 341 points scored and 543 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Arizona State Sun Devils and Colorado Buffaloes last met?

It ended Colorado Buffaloes 17, Arizona State Sun Devils 42. In the last 1 meeting Arizona State Sun Devils won 1 and Colorado Buffaloes won 0.

What is the best bet for Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Arizona St to win at -448, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arizona St against Colorado. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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