Predictions › United States › Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs prediction

Valley Children's Stadium

Colorado State RamsAway
21.6 : 39.2
projected points
Fresno State BulldogsHome
14%Colorado St
86%Fresno St
Eagle safe pickOver 50.5 points
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 86% chance. We project Colorado State Rams 21.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 39.2. Our best bet is Over 50.5 points at -300.

Prediction
Fresno State Bulldogs to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
Colorado State Rams 22, Fresno State Bulldogs 39
Projected total
60.8 points
Best bet
Over 50.5 points at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 50.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3002 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fresno State Bulldogs 86% and Colorado State Rams 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fresno State Bulldogs won 2 of their last 5 and Colorado State Rams won 1 of their last 5. Fresno State Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fresno State Bulldogs won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Colorado State Rams won 0 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Fresno State Bulldogs score 25.8 points a game and let in 18.8. Colorado State Rams score 26.4 and let in 37.8. Their recent games average 44.6 and 64.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Fresno State Bulldogs won 0 and Colorado State Rams won 1. The last one ended Colorado State Rams 49, Fresno State Bulldogs 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 50.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs: Fresno State Bulldogs are favourites

The big picture

Fresno State Bulldogs host Colorado State Rams in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 19:30 at Valley Children's Stadium. Our prediction for Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 86% chance. We project Colorado State Rams 21.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 39.2. Our best bet is Over 50.5 points at -300.

Fresno State Bulldogs form

Fresno State Bulldogs have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 491 points scored and 357 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Colorado State Rams form

Colorado State Rams have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 19 games, with 502 points scored and 718 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Fresno State Bulldogs won 0, Colorado State Rams won 1. Last time out it finished Colorado State Rams 49, Fresno State Bulldogs 21.

Our call

We expect Colorado State Rams to score about 21.6 points and Fresno State Bulldogs about 39.2. That points to Fresno State Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Over 50.5 points at -300.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Fresno StColorado St
Games played1919
Wins124
Losses715
Points scored491502
Points conceded357718
Scored per game25.826.4
Conceded per game18.837.8
Home record7W 3L4W 8L
Away record5W 4L0W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Fresno St spreadCoversFair
Fresno St -24.533%+202
Fresno St -20.543%+135
Fresno St -17.550%-100
Fresno St -14.557%-135
Fresno St -10.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
53.568%32%
57.558%42%
60.551%49%
63.543%57%
67.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Fresno St +3.5 wins if Fresno St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 86% chance. We project Colorado State Rams 21.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 39.2. Our best bet is Over 50.5 points at -300.

What is the projected score for Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

We project Colorado State Rams 21.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 39.2, about 60.8 points in total.

How are Fresno State Bulldogs playing?

Fresno State Bulldogs have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 491 points scored and 357 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Colorado State Rams playing?

Colorado State Rams have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 19 games, with 502 points scored and 718 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Fresno State Bulldogs and Colorado State Rams last met?

It ended Colorado State Rams 49, Fresno State Bulldogs 21. In the last 1 meeting Fresno State Bulldogs won 0 and Colorado State Rams won 1.

What is the best bet for Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Over 50.5 points at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fresno St against Colorado St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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