Predictions › United Kingdom › Coventry City vs Crystal Palace
Premier LeagueSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Coventry City vs Crystal Palace prediction

Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry CityHome
1.60 : 1.36
expected goals
Crystal PalaceAway
42%Coventry
26%Draw
32%C Palace
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Crystal Palace is Coventry City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Coventry City to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Coventry City 1.6, Crystal Palace 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Coventry City to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Coventry City 42%, the draw 26% and Crystal Palace 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Coventry City the favourite at 11/8.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Coventry City took 6 points from their last 5 games and Crystal Palace took 4 from 5. Coventry City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Coventry City won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Crystal Palace won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Coventry City score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. Crystal Palace score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Coventry City games and 13 of Crystal Palace games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • C Palacerecent form-1%
Coventry form D W L L WC Palace form D D L W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coventry City vs Crystal Palace: Coventry City shade it

The big picture

Coventry City host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena. Our prediction for Coventry City vs Crystal Palace is Coventry City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Coventry City form

Coventry City have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Coventry City to score about 1.6 goals and Crystal Palace about 1.4. That points to Coventry City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Coventry City to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CoventryC Palace
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws34
Losses810
Goals scored3427
Goals conceded2937
Scored per game1.71.4
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record5W 1D 4L4W 1D 5L
Away record4W 2D 4L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Coventry City to win41%7/511/8-3.8%
A Draw25%3/15/2-11.0%
Crystal Palace to win31%11/57/4-13.6%
Over 2.5 goals52%10/118/13-16.1%
Under 2.5 goals41%7/511/10-11.0%
Coventry City -0.540%6/46/5-11.4%
Crystal Palace +0.553%10/118/15-18.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals57%8/11
Over 3.5 goals34%15/8
Both teams to score60%4/6
Coventry City or Draw68%4/9
Crystal Palace or Draw58%8/11
Coventry City to win and Over 2.528%5/2
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.521%4/1
Coventry City clean sheet26%3/1
Crystal Palace clean sheet20%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
2-19.0%
1-27.7%
1-07.6%
2-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Crystal Palace is Coventry City to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Coventry City to score 1.6 goals and Crystal Palace 1.4.

Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Coventry City last 20 games and 10 of Crystal Palace last 20.

How are Coventry City playing?

Coventry City have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

Crystal Palace have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coventry against C Palace. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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