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Predictions › United Kingdom › Coventry City vs Newcastle United
Premier LeagueMon 12 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Coventry City vs Newcastle United prediction

Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry CityHome
1.28 : 1.65
expected goals
Newcastle UnitedAway
29%Coventry
26%Draw
46%Newcastle
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Newcastle United is Newcastle United to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Newcastle United to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Coventry City 1.3, Newcastle United 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Newcastle United to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 12/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Coventry City 29%, the draw 26% and Newcastle United 46%. The bookmakers agree and make Newcastle United the favourite at 11/10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Coventry City took 3 points from their last 5 games and Newcastle United took 10 from 5. Newcastle United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Coventry City won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Newcastle United won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Coventry City score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.2. Newcastle United score 1.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Coventry City games and 13 of Newcastle United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coventryrecent form-4%
  • Newcastlerecent form+3%
Coventry form W L L L LNewcastle form W L W D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coventry City vs Newcastle United: Newcastle United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Coventry City host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena. Our prediction for Coventry City vs Newcastle United is Newcastle United to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Coventry City form

Coventry City have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Newcastle United form

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Coventry City to score about 1.3 goals and Newcastle United about 1.6. That points to Newcastle United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Newcastle United to win and Over 2.5 at 12/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CoventryNewcastle
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws34
Losses68
Goals scored3530
Goals conceded2435
Scored per game1.81.5
Conceded per game1.21.8
Home record5W 1D 4L5W 3D 3L
Away record6W 2D 2L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored45%75%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Coventry City to win28%5/29/4-8.1%
A Draw25%3/15/2-12.4%
Newcastle United to win43%11/811/10-10.1%
Over 2.5 goals53%10/118/13-13.2%
Under 2.5 goals41%6/411/10-12.6%
Coventry City +0.551%10/114/6-14.4%
Newcastle United -0.543%11/8Evens-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score59%4/6
Coventry City or Draw54%5/6
Newcastle United or Draw71%2/5
Coventry City to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Newcastle United to win and Over 2.530%9/4
Coventry City clean sheet19%4/1
Newcastle United clean sheet28%13/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-29.3%
0-18.2%
0-27.3%
2-17.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Why Lewis Hall chose Newcastle stay over Manchester United transfer

Newcastle defender Lewis Hall says signing a new contract was a no brainer despite summer transfer interest from Manchester United.

22 Sept 2026
Premier League

Newcastle Face Growing Injury List Ahead of Hull City Match

Newcastle manager Matthias Jaissle is waiting on injury news for Anthony Elanga as his squad faces multiple absences ahead of the Hull City game.

17 Sept 2026
Premier League

Coventry Search For First Victory As Manchester Derby Takes Center Stage

Newly promoted Coventry City hunt for their first win against Brighton while Manchester United host rivals Manchester City.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Coventry City vs Newcastle United?

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Newcastle United is Newcastle United to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Coventry City vs Newcastle United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Coventry City to score 1.3 goals and Newcastle United 1.6.

Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Newcastle United?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Coventry City last 20 games and 15 of Newcastle United last 20.

How are Coventry City playing?

Coventry City have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Newcastle United playing?

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Coventry City vs Newcastle United?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coventry against Newcastle. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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