Predictions › United Kingdom › Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Premier LeagueSun 8 Nov, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction

Selhurst Park

Crystal PalaceHome

1.11 : 1.93

expected goals

LiverpoolAway

21%C Palace

23%Draw

56%Liverpool

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction: Liverpool to win
Chance: 56%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.1, Liverpool 1.9
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 2/92 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Liverpool to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Crystal Palace 21%, the draw 23% and Liverpool 56%. The bookmakers agree and make Liverpool the favourite at 4/6.
2
Recent form
Crystal Palace took 4 points from their last 5 games and Liverpool took 13 from 5. Liverpool come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Crystal Palace won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Liverpool won 5 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
Crystal Palace score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Liverpool score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Crystal Palace games and 12 of Liverpool games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings, Crystal Palace won 2 and Liverpool won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Liverpool 3, Crystal Palace 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

C Palacerecent form-4%
Liverpoolrecent form+6%
C Palacerest between games-5%
Liverpoolrest between games-5%

C Palace form D L D L LLiverpool form D W W W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: Liverpool are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Crystal Palace host Liverpool in the Premier League on Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at Selhurst Park. Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Liverpool 3, Crystal Palace 1.

Our call

We expect Crystal Palace to score about 1.1 goals and Liverpool about 1.9. That points to Liverpool to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Liverpool to win and Over 2.5 at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	C Palace	Liverpool
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	10
Draws	4	6
Losses	9	4
Goals scored	29	38
Goals conceded	37	30
Scored per game	1.4	1.9
Conceded per game	1.9	1.5
Home record	5W 1D 4L	5W 5D 2L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	5W 1D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Crystal Palace to win	21%	4/1	10/3	-7.8%
A Draw	23%	10/3	3/1	-8.0%
Liverpool to win	51%	Evens	4/6	-14.0%
Over 3.5 goals	38%	13/8	11/8	-11.2%
Under 3.5 goals	57%	8/11	8/15	-13.2%
Crystal Palace +0.5	43%	11/8	21/20	-12.2%
Liverpool -0.5	51%	Evens	8/13	-17.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	2/9
Over 2.5 goals	59%	8/11
Over 3.5 goals	36%	7/4
Both teams to score	58%	8/11
Crystal Palace or Draw	44%	5/4
Liverpool or Draw	79%	1/4
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.5	13%	13/2
Liverpool to win and Over 2.5	38%	13/8
Crystal Palace clean sheet	15%	6/1
Liverpool clean sheet	33%	2/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%

1-29.9%

0-28.9%

0-18.6%

1-36.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Real Madrid Eye Mac Allister as Liverpool Consider Midfield Options

Real Madrid are tracking Liverpool star Alexis Mac Allister, while Premier League clubs target fresh talent across Europe.

27 Oct 2026

Premier League

Former Winger Jermaine Pennant Needed 50 Stitches After Dog Attack

Former Liverpool and Arsenal winger Jermaine Pennant was hospitalized after protecting his dog from an attacking German shepherd in London.

26 Oct 2026

Premier League

Pierre Sage Dismisses Job Rumours Following Crystal Palace Loss

Pierre Sage insists there is no internal pressure at Crystal Palace after a 2-0 defeat to Newcastle at Selhurst Park.

26 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Crystal Palace to score 1.1 goals and Liverpool 1.9.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Crystal Palace last 20 games and 14 of Liverpool last 20.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

How are Liverpool playing?

What happened when Crystal Palace and Liverpool last met?

It ended Liverpool 3, Crystal Palace 1. In the last 3 meetings Crystal Palace won 2 and Liverpool won 1.

What is the best bet for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in C Palace against Liverpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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