Predictions › United Kingdom › Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United

Premier LeagueSun 25 Oct, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction

Selhurst Park

Crystal PalaceHome

1.57 : 1.32

expected goals

Newcastle UnitedAway

42%C Palace

26%Draw

32%Newcastle

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United is Crystal Palace to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction: Crystal Palace to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.6, Newcastle United 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 2/72 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Crystal Palace 42%, the draw 26% and Newcastle United 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Crystal Palace took 10 points from their last 5 games and Newcastle United took 7 from 5. Crystal Palace come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Crystal Palace won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Newcastle United won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Crystal Palace score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Newcastle United score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Crystal Palace games and 13 of Newcastle United games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Crystal Palace won 1 and Newcastle United won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Crystal Palace 2, Newcastle United 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

C Palacerecent form+1%
Newcastlerecent form+1%
Newcastlerest between games-2%

C Palace form D D W L WNewcastle form D W L W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Crystal Palace shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Crystal Palace host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 at Selhurst Park. Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United is Crystal Palace to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Newcastle United form

Newcastle United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Crystal Palace won 1, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Crystal Palace 2, Newcastle United 1.

Our call

We expect Crystal Palace to score about 1.6 goals and Newcastle United about 1.3. That points to Crystal Palace to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.5 at 3/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	C Palace	Newcastle
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	7
Draws	4	4
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	31	29
Goals conceded	32	38
Scored per game	1.6	1.4
Conceded per game	1.6	1.9
Home record	6W 2D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	2W 2D 5L	3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1/4
Over 2.5 goals	55%	4/5
Over 3.5 goals	33%	2/1
Both teams to score	59%	8/11
Crystal Palace or Draw	68%	4/9
Newcastle United or Draw	58%	8/11
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.5	28%	13/5
Newcastle United to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Crystal Palace clean sheet	27%	11/4
Newcastle United clean sheet	21%	4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

2-19.0%

1-08.0%

1-27.6%

2-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Why Lewis Hall chose Newcastle stay over Manchester United transfer

Newcastle defender Lewis Hall says signing a new contract was a no brainer despite summer transfer interest from Manchester United.

22 Sept 2026

Premier League

Newcastle Face Growing Injury List Ahead of Hull City Match

Newcastle manager Matthias Jaissle is waiting on injury news for Anthony Elanga as his squad faces multiple absences ahead of the Hull City game.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United is Crystal Palace to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Crystal Palace to score 1.6 goals and Newcastle United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Crystal Palace last 20 games and 15 of Newcastle United last 20.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

How are Newcastle United playing?

What happened when Crystal Palace and Newcastle United last met?

It ended Crystal Palace 2, Newcastle United 1. In the last 2 meetings Crystal Palace won 1 and Newcastle United won 1.

What is the best bet for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in C Palace against Newcastle. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.