Predictions › United States › Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles
NFLMon 26 Oct, 20:15 United States time

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction

Lincoln Financial Field

Dallas CowboysAway
23.5 : 24.0
projected points
Philadelphia EaglesHome
50%Cowboys
50%Eagles
Eagle safe pickCowboys +8.5
-278

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Cowboys 23.5 and Philadelphia Eagles 24.0. Our best bet is Cowboys +8.5 at -278.

Prediction
Dallas Cowboys to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Dallas Cowboys 23, Philadelphia Eagles 24
Projected total
47.5 points
Best bet
Cowboys +8.5 at -278

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cowboys +8.5
74% chanceFair price -2781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Eagles 50% and Dallas Cowboys 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Philadelphia Eagles the favourite at -120, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and Dallas Cowboys won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Eagles won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Dallas Cowboys won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia Eagles score 19.4 points a game and let in 19.8. Dallas Cowboys score 26.6 and let in 27.0. Their recent games average 39.2 and 53.6 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Philadelphia Eagles won 0 and Dallas Cowboys won 1. The last one ended Dallas Cowboys 24, Philadelphia Eagles 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cowboys +8.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eaglesteam news-3%
  • Cowboysteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: Dallas Cowboys shade it

The big picture

Philadelphia Eagles host Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Mon 26 Oct, 20:15 at Lincoln Financial Field. Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Cowboys 23.5 and Philadelphia Eagles 24.0. Our best bet is Cowboys +8.5 at -278.

Philadelphia Eagles form

Philadelphia Eagles have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 389 points scored and 395 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Dallas Cowboys form

Dallas Cowboys have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 533 points scored and 540 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Philadelphia Eagles won 0, Dallas Cowboys won 1. Last time out it finished Dallas Cowboys 24, Philadelphia Eagles 21.

Our call

We expect Dallas Cowboys to score about 23.5 points and Philadelphia Eagles about 24.0. That points to Dallas Cowboys to win. Our safest bet is Cowboys +8.5 at -278.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EaglesCowboys
Games played2020
Wins99
Losses1111
Points scored389533
Points conceded395540
Scored per game19.426.6
Conceded per game19.827.0
Home record4W 5L4W 6L
Away record5W 6L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Eagles to win50%+100-120-8.5%
Cowboys to win47%+112+100-5.8%
Eagles -1.547%+115-105-9.2%
Cowboys +1.550%-102-115-5.6%
Over 47.5 points48%+106-110-7.4%
Under 47.5 points49%+106-110-7.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Eagles spreadCoversFair
Eagles -7.530%+230
Eagles -3.541%+142
Eagles -0.550%-101
Eagles +2.559%-144
Eagles +6.570%-233
Total pointsOverUnder
40.570%30%
44.559%41%
47.550%50%
50.541%59%
54.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Eagles +3.5 wins if Eagles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles?

Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Cowboys 23.5 and Philadelphia Eagles 24.0. Our best bet is Cowboys +8.5 at -278.

What is the projected score for Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles?

We project Dallas Cowboys 23.5 and Philadelphia Eagles 24.0, about 47.5 points in total.

How are Philadelphia Eagles playing?

Philadelphia Eagles have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 389 points scored and 395 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Cowboys playing?

Dallas Cowboys have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 533 points scored and 540 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys last met?

It ended Dallas Cowboys 24, Philadelphia Eagles 21. In the last 1 meeting Philadelphia Eagles won 0 and Dallas Cowboys won 1.

What is the best bet for Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles?

Cowboys +8.5 at -278, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eagles against Cowboys. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.