Predictions › United Kingdom › Everton vs Coventry City

Premier LeagueFri 6 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Everton vs Coventry City prediction

Hill Dickinson Stadium

EvertonHome

1.77 : 1.03

expected goals

Coventry CityAway

54%Everton

25%Draw

21%Coventry

Eagle safe pickEverton or Draw

1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Everton vs Coventry City is Everton to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction: Everton to win
Chance: 54%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Everton 1.8, Coventry City 1.0
Best bet: Everton or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Everton or Draw

79% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Everton to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Everton 54%, the draw 25% and Coventry City 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Everton the favourite at 4/6.
2
Recent form
Everton took 7 points from their last 5 games and Coventry City took 6 from 5. Everton come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Everton won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Coventry City won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Everton score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Coventry City score 1.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Everton games and 13 of Coventry City games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Everton or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Evertonrecent form+1%

Everton form D L D W WCoventry form D L W W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Everton vs Coventry City: Everton are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Everton host Coventry City in the Premier League on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Our prediction for Everton vs Coventry City is Everton to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4.

Everton form

Everton have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Coventry City form

Coventry City have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Everton to score about 1.8 goals and Coventry City about 1.0. That points to Everton to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Everton to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Everton	Coventry
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	9
Draws	7	3
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	28	34
Goals conceded	26	27
Scored per game	1.4	1.7
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Home record	5W 2D 3L	5W 1D 5L
Away record	1W 5D 4L	4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	35%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Everton to win	50%	Evens	4/6	-15.7%
A Draw	24%	3/1	3/1	-6.1%
Coventry City to win	21%	4/1	7/2	-5.4%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	Evens	8/11	-14.4%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	5/4	21/20	-8.9%
Everton -0.5	51%	Evens	8/13	-17.5%
Coventry City +0.5	44%	5/4	21/20	-10.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	2/7
Over 2.5 goals	53%	10/11
Over 3.5 goals	31%	9/4
Both teams to score	54%	5/6
Everton or Draw	79%	2/7
Coventry City or Draw	46%	6/5
Everton to win and Over 2.5	34%	15/8
Coventry City to win and Over 2.5	12%	7/1
Everton clean sheet	36%	9/5
Coventry City clean sheet	17%	5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%

1-010.1%

2-19.8%

2-09.5%

0-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

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Questions people ask

Who will win Everton vs Coventry City?

Our prediction for Everton vs Coventry City is Everton to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Everton vs Coventry City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Everton to score 1.8 goals and Coventry City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Coventry City?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Everton last 20 games and 9 of Coventry City last 20.

How are Everton playing?

How are Coventry City playing?

What is the best bet for Everton vs Coventry City?

Everton or Draw at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Everton against Coventry. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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