Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Georgia to win

77% chancePrice -4101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Georgia Bulldogs 77% and Florida Gators 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Georgia Bulldogs the favourite at -410.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Georgia Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5 and Florida Gators won 3 of their last 5. Georgia Bulldogs come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Georgia Bulldogs won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Florida Gators won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Georgia Bulldogs score 35.6 points a game and let in 18.1. Florida Gators score 27.4 and let in 27.5. Their recent games average 53.7 and 54.9 points in total, and the market line is 56.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Georgia Bulldogs won 1 and Florida Gators won 0. The last one ended Florida Gators 20, Georgia Bulldogs 24.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Georgia to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Georgia +3.5 wins if Georgia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.