Predictions › Conference League › Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Estadio Coliseum

GetafeHome
0.99 : 1.44
expected goals
Brighton & Hove AlbionAway
25%Getafe
28%Draw
47%Brighton
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Getafe 1.0, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Getafe 25%, the draw 28% and Brighton & Hove Albion 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Getafe took 2 points from their last 5 games and Brighton & Hove Albion took 10 from 5. Brighton & Hove Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Getafe won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Brighton & Hove Albion won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Getafe score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. Brighton & Hove Albion score 2.2 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Getafe games and 13 of Brighton & Hove Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Getaferecent form-3%
  • Brightonrecent form+4%
  • Getaferest between games-5%
  • Brightonrest between games-5%
Getafe form D L D D LBrighton form D D W W WHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites

The big picture

Getafe host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Coliseum. Our prediction for Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Getafe form

Getafe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Getafe to score about 1.0 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion about 1.4. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GetafeBrighton
Games played2020
Wins512
Draws53
Losses105
Goals scored1344
Goals conceded2819
Scored per game0.72.2
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record4W 3D 3L7W 1D 1L
Away record1W 2D 7L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%55%
Both teams scored30%30%
Over 2.5 goals25%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.39
Both teams to score49%2.05
Getafe or Draw53%1.88
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw75%1.34
Getafe to win and Over 2.513%7.75
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.526%3.89
Getafe clean sheet24%4.22
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet37%2.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
0-111.9%
0-09.5%
0-29.1%
1-29.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Our prediction for Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Getafe to score 1.0 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.4.

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Getafe last 20 games and 6 of Brighton & Hove Albion last 20.

How are Getafe playing?

Getafe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

Brighton & Hove Albion have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Getafe against Brighton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.