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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers
NBAWed 7 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction

Moda Center

Golden State WarriorsAway
113.0 : 116.3
projected points
Portland Trail BlazersHome
41%Warriors
59%Trail Blazers
Eagle safe pickWarriors +11.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers is Portland Trail Blazers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 113.0 and Portland Trail Blazers 116.3. Our best bet is Warriors +11.5 at -299.

Prediction
Portland Trail Blazers to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 113, Portland Trail Blazers 116
Projected total
229.3 points
Best bet
Warriors +11.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +11.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
36% chanceFair price +1761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Portland Trail Blazers 59% and Golden State Warriors 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Portland Trail Blazers won 1 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Portland Trail Blazers won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Portland Trail Blazers score 112.9 points a game and let in 108.5. Golden State Warriors score 112.8 and let in 119.0. Their recent games average 221.4 and 231.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Portland Trail Blazers won 3 and Golden State Warriors won 2. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 119, Portland Trail Blazers 97.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Trail Blazersrest between games-3%
  • Warriorsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers: Portland Trail Blazers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portland Trail Blazers host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wed 7 Oct, 22:00 at Moda Center. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers is Portland Trail Blazers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 113.0 and Portland Trail Blazers 116.3. Our best bet is Warriors +11.5 at -299.

Portland Trail Blazers form

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2258 points scored and 2170 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Portland Trail Blazers won 3, Golden State Warriors won 2. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 119, Portland Trail Blazers 97.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 113.0 points and Portland Trail Blazers about 116.3. That points to Portland Trail Blazers to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +11.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +176.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Trail BlazersWarriors
Games played2020
Wins126
Losses814
Points scored22582256
Points conceded21702381
Scored per game112.9112.8
Conceded per game108.5119.0
Home record6W 3L3W 6L
Away record6W 5L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Trail Blazers spreadCoversFair
Trail Blazers -9.531%+221
Trail Blazers -6.540%+149
Trail Blazers -3.550%+102
Trail Blazers -0.559%-144
Trail Blazers +2.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
223.563%37%
226.556%44%
229.550%50%
232.543%57%
235.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Trail Blazers +3.5 wins if Trail Blazers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Promises No Drama as Warriors Contract Decision Looms

Stephen Curry says his unsigned contract extension will not impact his play or the team vibe as the Golden State Warriors prepare for training camp.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers is Portland Trail Blazers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 113.0 and Portland Trail Blazers 116.3. Our best bet is Warriors +11.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?

We project Golden State Warriors 113.0 and Portland Trail Blazers 116.3, about 229.3 points in total.

How are Portland Trail Blazers playing?

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2258 points scored and 2170 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Portland Trail Blazers and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 119, Portland Trail Blazers 97. In the last 5 meetings Portland Trail Blazers won 3 and Golden State Warriors won 2.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?

Warriors +11.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Trail Blazers against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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