Predictions › United States › Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

NFLSun 25 Oct, 16:25 United States time

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions prediction

Ford Field

Green Bay PackersAway

24.1 : 27.6

projected points

Detroit LionsHome

41%Packers

59%Lions

Eagle safe pickUnder 59.5 points

-282

Quick answer

Our prediction for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 59% chance. We project Green Bay Packers 24.1 and Detroit Lions 27.6. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -282.

Prediction: Detroit Lions to win
Chance: 59%
Projected score: Green Bay Packers 24, Detroit Lions 28
Projected total: 51.7 points
Best bet: Under 59.5 points at -282

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 59.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2821 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Packers to win

39% chancePrice +1541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Detroit Lions 59% and Green Bay Packers 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Detroit Lions the favourite at -185.
2
Recent form
Detroit Lions won 3 of their last 5 and Green Bay Packers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Detroit Lions won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Green Bay Packers won 6 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Scoring
Detroit Lions score 26.4 points a game and let in 24.7. Green Bay Packers score 22.4 and let in 22.9. Their recent games average 51.0 and 45.3 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Detroit Lions won 0 and Green Bay Packers won 1. The last one ended Detroit Lions 24, Green Bay Packers 31.
6
The safest bet
Under 59.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions: Detroit Lions are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Lions host Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 16:25 at Ford Field. Our prediction for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 59% chance. We project Green Bay Packers 24.1 and Detroit Lions 27.6. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -282.

Detroit Lions form

Detroit Lions have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 527 points scored and 494 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Green Bay Packers form

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 448 points scored and 457 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Detroit Lions won 0, Green Bay Packers won 1. Last time out it finished Detroit Lions 24, Green Bay Packers 31.

Our call

We expect Green Bay Packers to score about 24.1 points and Detroit Lions about 27.6. That points to Detroit Lions to win. Our safest bet is Under 59.5 points at -282. Our bold bet is Packers to win at +154.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Lions	Packers
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	10
Losses	10	10
Points scored	527	448
Points conceded	494	457
Scored per game	26.4	22.4
Conceded per game	24.7	22.9
Home record	6W 3L	4W 4L
Away record	4W 7L	6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Lions to win	59%	-141	-185	-9.8%
Packers to win	39%	+157	+154	-1.2%
Lions -3	50%	+101	-120	-8.9%
Packers +3	48%	+110	+100	-4.8%
Over 52.5 points	47%	+113	-110	-10.5%
Under 52.5 points	50%	-102	-110	-3.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Lions spread	Covers	Fair
Lions -10.5	30%	+231
Lions -6.5	41%	+143
Lions -3.5	50%	-100
Lions -0.5	59%	-143
Lions +3.5	70%	-231

Total points	Over	Under
44.5	71%	29%
48.5	60%	40%
51.5	50%	50%
54.5	41%	59%
58.5	30%	70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lions +3.5 wins if Lions win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

NFL

Detroit Lions Enter Bye Week Seeking Balance After Arizona Win

Detroit stands at three wins and two losses after beating Arizona, balancing a top scoring attack with ongoing defensive adjustments.

14 Oct 2026

NFL

Packers Star Micah Parsons Not Expected to Play Against Cowboys

Micah Parsons is not expected to practice this week as the Packers prepare for Sunday night's matchup with the Dallas Cowboys.

12 Oct 2026

NFL

Malik Willis takes charge of young Miami Dolphins offense

Malik Willis is ready to lead the Miami Dolphins after signing a three year contract and rebuilding his passing mechanics.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?

Our prediction for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 59% chance. We project Green Bay Packers 24.1 and Detroit Lions 27.6. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -282.

What is the projected score for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?

We project Green Bay Packers 24.1 and Detroit Lions 27.6, about 51.7 points in total.

How are Detroit Lions playing?

How are Green Bay Packers playing?

What happened when Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers last met?

It ended Detroit Lions 24, Green Bay Packers 31. In the last 1 meeting Detroit Lions won 0 and Green Bay Packers won 1.

What is the best bet for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?

Under 59.5 points at -282, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lions against Packers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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