Predictions › United States › Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes
College FootballFri 13 Nov, 22:15 United States time

Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes prediction

Folsom Field

Houston CougarsAway
30.1 : 23.7
projected points
Colorado BuffaloesHome
67%Houston
34%Colorado
Eagle safe pickOver 43.5 points
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes is Houston Cougars to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Cougars 30.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 23.7. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -303.

Prediction
Houston Cougars to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Houston Cougars 30, Colorado Buffaloes 24
Projected total
53.8 points
Best bet
Over 43.5 points at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 43.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colorado to win
34% chanceFair price +1991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Buffaloes 34% and Houston Cougars 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Buffaloes won 1 of their last 5 and Houston Cougars won 4 of their last 5. Houston Cougars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Buffaloes won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Houston Cougars won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Buffaloes score 20.4 points a game and let in 31.5. Houston Cougars score 31.8 and let in 24.0. Their recent games average 51.9 and 55.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Colorado Buffaloes won 0 and Houston Cougars won 1. The last one ended Houston Cougars 36, Colorado Buffaloes 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 43.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes: Houston Cougars are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Buffaloes host Houston Cougars in the College Football on Fri 13 Nov, 22:15 at Folsom Field. Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes is Houston Cougars to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Cougars 30.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 23.7. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -303.

Colorado Buffaloes form

Colorado Buffaloes have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 368 points scored and 567 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Houston Cougars form

Houston Cougars have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 604 points scored and 456 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colorado Buffaloes won 0, Houston Cougars won 1. Last time out it finished Houston Cougars 36, Colorado Buffaloes 20.

Our call

We expect Houston Cougars to score about 30.1 points and Colorado Buffaloes about 23.7. That points to Houston Cougars to win. Our safest bet is Over 43.5 points at -303. Our bold bet is Colorado to win at +199.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

ColoradoHouston
Games played1819
Wins514
Losses135
Points scored368604
Points conceded567456
Scored per game20.431.8
Conceded per game31.524.0
Home record4W 5L7W 3L
Away record1W 8L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Colorado spreadCoversFair
Colorado -0.533%+200
Colorado +3.543%+134
Colorado +6.550%-101
Colorado +9.558%-136
Colorado +13.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
46.568%32%
50.558%42%
53.551%49%
56.543%57%
60.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Colorado +3.5 wins if Colorado win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Our prediction for Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes is Houston Cougars to win, with a 67% chance. We project Houston Cougars 30.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 23.7. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -303.

What is the projected score for Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes?

We project Houston Cougars 30.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 23.7, about 53.8 points in total.

How are Colorado Buffaloes playing?

Colorado Buffaloes have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 368 points scored and 567 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Houston Cougars playing?

Houston Cougars have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 604 points scored and 456 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Buffaloes and Houston Cougars last met?

It ended Houston Cougars 36, Colorado Buffaloes 20. In the last 1 meeting Colorado Buffaloes won 0 and Houston Cougars won 1.

What is the best bet for Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Over 43.5 points at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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