Quick answer
Our prediction for Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Texans 19.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 22.8. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -297.
- Prediction
- Jacksonville Jaguars to win
- Chance
- 58%
- Projected score
- Houston Texans 19, Jacksonville Jaguars 23
- Projected total
- 42.0 points
- Best bet
- Under 50.5 points at -297
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Under 50.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Jacksonville Jaguars 58% and Houston Texans 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Jacksonville Jaguars the favourite at -175.
- 2
Recent formJacksonville Jaguars won 4 of their last 5 and Houston Texans won 0 of their last 5. Jacksonville Jaguars come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayJacksonville Jaguars won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Houston Texans won 5 of their last 8 on the road.
- 4
ScoringJacksonville Jaguars score 26.8 points a game and let in 18.5. Houston Texans score 22.4 and let in 20.8. Their recent games average 45.3 and 43.1 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Jacksonville Jaguars won 1 and Houston Texans won 1. The last one ended Houston Texans 36, Jacksonville Jaguars 29.
- 6
The safest betUnder 50.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewHouston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Jacksonville Jaguars shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Jacksonville Jaguars host Houston Texans in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 09:30 at Wembley Stadium. Our prediction for Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Texans 19.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 22.8. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -297.
Jacksonville Jaguars form
Jacksonville Jaguars have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 535 points scored and 370 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.
Houston Texans form
Houston Texans have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 447 points scored and 415 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Jacksonville Jaguars won 1, Houston Texans won 1. Last time out it finished Houston Texans 36, Jacksonville Jaguars 29.
Our call
We expect Houston Texans to score about 19.2 points and Jacksonville Jaguars about 22.8. That points to Jacksonville Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Under 50.5 points at -297.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jaguars +3.5 wins if Jaguars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Our prediction for Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Houston Texans 19.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 22.8. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -297.
What is the projected score for Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
We project Houston Texans 19.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 22.8, about 42.0 points in total.
How are Jacksonville Jaguars playing?
Jacksonville Jaguars have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 535 points scored and 370 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.
How are Houston Texans playing?
Houston Texans have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 447 points scored and 415 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans last met?
It ended Houston Texans 36, Jacksonville Jaguars 29. In the last 2 meetings Jacksonville Jaguars won 1 and Houston Texans won 1.
What is the best bet for Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Under 50.5 points at -297, with a 75% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jaguars against Texans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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