Predictions › United Kingdom › Hull City vs Brentford
Premier LeagueSun 25 Oct, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Hull City vs Brentford prediction

The MKM Stadium

Hull CityHome
1.37 : 1.25
expected goals
BrentfordAway
39%Hull
28%Draw
34%Brentford
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hull City vs Brentford is Hull City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Hull City to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hull City 1.4, Brentford 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hull City 39%, the draw 28% and Brentford 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hull City took 3 points from their last 5 games and Brentford took 9 from 5. Brentford come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hull City won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Brentford won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hull City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Brentford score 1.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Hull City games and 14 of Brentford games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hullrecent form-3%
  • Brentfordrecent form+3%
Hull form D L D L DBrentford form D W W D DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hull City vs Brentford: Hull City shade it

The big picture

Hull City host Brentford in the Premier League on Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 at The MKM Stadium. Our prediction for Hull City vs Brentford is Hull City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Hull City form

Hull City have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Brentford form

Brentford have 6 wins, 12 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Hull City to score about 1.4 goals and Brentford about 1.3. That points to Hull City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HullBrentford
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws912
Losses52
Goals scored2337
Goals conceded2125
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record4W 5D 0L3W 5D 0L
Away record2W 4D 5L3W 7D 2L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score54%5/6
Hull City or Draw66%1/2
Brentford or Draw61%8/13
Hull City to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Brentford to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Hull City clean sheet29%5/2
Brentford clean sheet25%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-09.2%
2-18.5%
0-18.4%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?

Our prediction for Hull City vs Brentford is Hull City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Hull City vs Brentford?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Hull City to score 1.4 goals and Brentford 1.3.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brentford?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Hull City last 20 games and 13 of Brentford last 20.

How are Hull City playing?

Hull City have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Brentford playing?

Brentford have 6 wins, 12 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Hull City vs Brentford?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hull against Brentford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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