Predictions › United Kingdom › Hull City vs Everton

Premier LeagueSun 11 Oct, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Hull City vs Everton prediction

The MKM Stadium

Hull CityHome

1.04 : 1.40

expected goals

EvertonAway

27%Hull

28%Draw

45%Everton

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hull City vs Everton is Everton to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Everton to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Hull City 1.0, Everton 1.4
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Hull City 27%, the draw 28% and Everton 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Everton the favourite at 21/20.
2
Recent form
Hull City took 5 points from their last 5 games and Everton took 9 from 5. Everton come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Hull City won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Everton won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Hull City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.0. Everton score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Hull City games and 11 of Everton games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Hullrecent form-1%
Evertonrecent form+3%

Hull form L D L D WEverton form W W D D DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hull City vs Everton: Everton shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Hull City host Everton in the Premier League on Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 at The MKM Stadium. Our prediction for Hull City vs Everton is Everton to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Hull City form

Hull City have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Everton form

Everton have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Hull City to score about 1.0 goals and Everton about 1.4. That points to Everton to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Hull	Everton
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	7
Draws	8	6
Losses	5	7
Goals scored	23	30
Goals conceded	20	25
Scored per game	1.1	1.5
Conceded per game	1.0	1.3
Home record	4W 4D 0L	5W 2D 4L
Away record	3W 4D 5L	2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	35%	35%
Both teams scored	55%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Hull City to win	26%	11/4	13/5	-4.7%
A Draw	28%	13/5	9/4	-8.8%
Everton to win	42%	7/5	21/20	-14.3%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	11/8	Evens	-14.4%
Under 2.5 goals	51%	10/11	8/11	-12.0%
Hull City +0.5	51%	Evens	8/11	-13.0%
Everton -0.5	43%	5/4	10/11	-15.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	2/5
Over 2.5 goals	44%	5/4
Over 3.5 goals	23%	10/3
Both teams to score	49%	Evens
Hull City or Draw	56%	4/5
Everton or Draw	73%	4/11
Hull City to win and Over 2.5	14%	6/1
Everton to win and Over 2.5	24%	3/1
Hull City clean sheet	25%	3/1
Everton clean sheet	35%	9/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%

0-111.5%

0-09.5%

1-28.9%

0-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Thierno Barry Steps Up For Everton After Transfer Window Chaos

Thierno Barry scored the winner against Ipswich to ease Everton's striker worries after a chaotic end to the transfer window.

22 Sept 2026

Premier League

World Leaders Watch Everton Secure Cup Victory

British PM Andy Burnham and Canadian PM Mark Carney watched Everton beat Wolves in the Carabao Cup.

17 Sept 2026

Premier League

Chelsea Host Unbeaten Hull as Premier League Action Heats Up

Chelsea aim to recover from their Arsenal defeat as they face an unbeaten Hull City side in a packed Saturday of European action.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Hull City vs Everton?

Our prediction for Hull City vs Everton is Everton to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Hull City vs Everton?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Hull City to score 1.0 goals and Everton 1.4.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Everton?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Hull City last 20 games and 10 of Everton last 20.

How are Hull City playing?

How are Everton playing?

What is the best bet for Hull City vs Everton?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hull against Everton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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