Predictions › United States › Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings

NFLSun 25 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

U.S. Bank Stadium

Indianapolis ColtsAway

19.0 : 24.1

projected points

Minnesota VikingsHome

32%Colts

68%Vikings

Eagle safe pickVikings to win

-258

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 68% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 19.0 and Minnesota Vikings 24.1. Our best bet is Vikings to win at -258.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings to win
Chance: 68%
Projected score: Indianapolis Colts 19, Minnesota Vikings 24
Projected total: 43.0 points
Best bet: Vikings to win at -258

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Vikings to win

68% chancePrice -2581 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colts to win

30% chancePrice +2101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Minnesota Vikings 68% and Indianapolis Colts 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Minnesota Vikings the favourite at -258.
2
Recent form
Minnesota Vikings won 5 of their last 5 and Indianapolis Colts won 2 of their last 5. Minnesota Vikings come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Minnesota Vikings won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Indianapolis Colts won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Scoring
Minnesota Vikings score 17.6 points a game and let in 17.9. Indianapolis Colts score 23.1 and let in 26.6. Their recent games average 35.5 and 49.8 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.
5
The safest bet
Vikings to win has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota Vikings are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Vikings host Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at U.S. Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 68% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 19.0 and Minnesota Vikings 24.1. Our best bet is Vikings to win at -258.

Minnesota Vikings form

Minnesota Vikings have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 352 points scored and 357 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Indianapolis Colts form

Indianapolis Colts have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 533 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Indianapolis Colts to score about 19.0 points and Minnesota Vikings about 24.1. That points to Minnesota Vikings to win. Our safest bet is Vikings to win at -258. Our bold bet is Colts to win at +210.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Vikings	Colts
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	6
Losses	8	13
Points scored	352	462
Points conceded	357	533
Scored per game	17.6	23.1
Conceded per game	17.9	26.6
Home record	5W 4L	4W 6L
Away record	7W 4L	2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Vikings to win	68%	-214	-258	-5.3%
Colts to win	30%	+229	+210	-5.9%
Vikings -5.5	47%	+111	-110	-9.3%
Colts +5.5	49%	+104	-110	-6.3%
Over 43.5 points	47%	+111	-110	-9.7%
Under 43.5 points	49%	+103	-110	-5.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Vikings spread	Covers	Fair
Vikings -12.5	29%	+242
Vikings -8.5	40%	+149
Vikings -5.5	49%	+105
Vikings -2.5	58%	-136
Vikings +1.5	69%	-221

Total points	Over	Under
36.5	69%	31%
40.5	58%	42%
43.5	49%	51%
46.5	40%	60%
50.5	28%	72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vikings +3.5 wins if Vikings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

NFL

Jonathan Taylor Patient Despite Slower Start with Colts

Colts running back Jonathan Taylor has fewer big plays this season, but he remains confident that results will improve.

1 hour ago

NFL

Big Statements Follow Dramatic Week 5 NFL Wins

Players and coaches shared strong reactions after wild Week 5 finishes in London and New Orleans.

11 Oct 2026

NFL

Marvin Harrison Jr. Ignores Trade Speculation as Colts Circle

Marvin Harrison Jr. says he is ignoring trade rumors as the Colts and other teams monitor the Arizona Cardinals wide receiver before the deadline.

9 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings?

What is the projected score for Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings?

We project Indianapolis Colts 19.0 and Minnesota Vikings 24.1, about 43.0 points in total.

How are Minnesota Vikings playing?

How are Indianapolis Colts playing?

What is the best bet for Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings?

Vikings to win at -258, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vikings against Colts. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.