Quick answer
Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indianapolis Colts 21.2 and Pittsburgh Steelers 23.3. Our best bet is Colts +9.5 at -272.
- Prediction
- Pittsburgh Steelers to win
- Chance
- 52%
- Projected score
- Indianapolis Colts 21, Pittsburgh Steelers 23
- Projected total
- 44.5 points
- Best bet
- Colts +9.5 at -272
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Colts +9.5
73% chanceFair price -2721 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Pittsburgh Steelers 52% and Indianapolis Colts 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Pittsburgh Steelers the favourite at -135.
- 2
Recent formPittsburgh Steelers won 2 of their last 5 and Indianapolis Colts won 1 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Steelers come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayPittsburgh Steelers won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Indianapolis Colts won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
ScoringPittsburgh Steelers score 20.8 points a game and let in 21.6. Indianapolis Colts score 23.5 and let in 25.9. Their recent games average 42.4 and 49.5 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 1 meeting, Pittsburgh Steelers won 1 and Indianapolis Colts won 0. The last one ended Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Indianapolis Colts 20.
- 6
The safest betColts +9.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewIndianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Pittsburgh Steelers shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Pittsburgh Steelers host Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 at Acrisure Stadium. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indianapolis Colts 21.2 and Pittsburgh Steelers 23.3. Our best bet is Colts +9.5 at -272.
Pittsburgh Steelers form
Pittsburgh Steelers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 415 points scored and 433 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
Indianapolis Colts form
Indianapolis Colts have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 470 points scored and 519 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 1 time in our records. Pittsburgh Steelers won 1, Indianapolis Colts won 0. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Indianapolis Colts 20.
Our call
We expect Indianapolis Colts to score about 21.2 points and Pittsburgh Steelers about 23.3. That points to Pittsburgh Steelers to win. Our safest bet is Colts +9.5 at -272.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Steelers +3.5 wins if Steelers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?
Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indianapolis Colts 21.2 and Pittsburgh Steelers 23.3. Our best bet is Colts +9.5 at -272.
What is the projected score for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?
We project Indianapolis Colts 21.2 and Pittsburgh Steelers 23.3, about 44.5 points in total.
How are Pittsburgh Steelers playing?
Pittsburgh Steelers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 415 points scored and 433 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
How are Indianapolis Colts playing?
Indianapolis Colts have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 470 points scored and 519 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts last met?
It ended Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Indianapolis Colts 20. In the last 1 meeting Pittsburgh Steelers won 1 and Indianapolis Colts won 0.
What is the best bet for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers?
Colts +9.5 at -272, with a 73% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Steelers against Colts. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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