Predictions › Italy › Internazionale vs Parma

Serie ASat 10 Oct, 16:00 Italy time

Internazionale vs Parma prediction

San Siro

InternazionaleHome

2.98 : 0.89

expected goals

ParmaAway

79%Inter Milan

13%Draw

8%Parma

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Parma is Internazionale to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction: Internazionale to win
Chance: 79%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Internazionale 3.0, Parma 0.9
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and both score

38% chanceFair price 2.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Internazionale 79%, the draw 13% and Parma 8%. The bookmakers agree and make Internazionale the favourite at 1.13.
2
Recent form
Internazionale took 10 points from their last 5 games and Parma took 4 from 5. Internazionale come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Internazionale won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Parma won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Internazionale score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. Parma score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Internazionale games and 5 of Parma games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Internazionale won 2 and Parma won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Internazionale 2, Parma 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Inter Milanrecent form+3%
Parmarecent form-3%

Inter Milan form D W L W WParma form W L D L LHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internazionale vs Parma: Internazionale are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Internazionale host Parma in the Serie A on Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 at San Siro. Our prediction for Internazionale vs Parma is Internazionale to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Parma form

Parma have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Internazionale won 2, Parma won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Internazionale 2, Parma 0.

Our call

We expect Internazionale to score about 3.0 goals and Parma about 0.9. That points to Internazionale to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and both score at 2.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Inter Milan	Parma
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	3	8
Goals scored	46	17
Goals conceded	26	23
Scored per game	2.3	0.8
Conceded per game	1.3	1.1
Home record	7W 2D 1L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	4W 4D 2L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Both teams scored	65%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Internazionale to win	77%	1.30	1.13	-13.4%
A Draw	13%	7.79	7.50	-3.7%
Parma to win	6%	17.42	12.00	-31.1%
Over 3.5 goals	48%	2.06	1.83	-11.2%
Under 3.5 goals	45%	2.21	1.87	-15.3%
Internazionale -2.5	41%	2.45	2.00	-18.5%
Parma +2.5	53%	1.89	1.67	-11.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	90%	1.11
Over 2.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 3.5 goals	54%	1.85
Both teams to score	56%	1.77
Internazionale or Draw	92%	1.08
Parma or Draw	21%	4.76
Internazionale to win and Over 2.5	64%	1.56
Parma to win and Over 2.5	5%	18.41
Internazionale clean sheet	41%	2.44
Parma clean sheet	5%	19.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.2%

3-09.2%

2-18.2%

3-18.2%

4-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Serie A

Parma Dismiss Manager Carlos Cuesta After Slow Start to Serie A Season

Parma have parted ways with head coach Carlos Cuesta after winning just one of their opening five league matches this season.

27 Sept 2026

Serie A

Inter Milan Legend Sandro Mazzola Passes Away at 83

Inter Milan and Italy legend Sandro Mazzola has died at 83, leaving behind an incredible legacy as a one club icon.

19 Sept 2026

Serie A

AC Milan and Inter Prepare to Say Goodbye to the Iconic San Siro

As the iconic San Siro celebrates its 100th anniversary, AC Milan and Inter are preparing to build a brand new home.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Internazionale vs Parma?

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Parma is Internazionale to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Internazionale vs Parma?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Internazionale to score 3.0 goals and Parma 0.9.

Will both teams score in Internazionale vs Parma?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Internazionale last 20 games and 9 of Parma last 20.

How are Internazionale playing?

How are Parma playing?

What happened when Internazionale and Parma last met?

It ended Internazionale 2, Parma 0. In the last 2 meetings Internazionale won 2 and Parma won 0.

What is the best bet for Internazionale vs Parma?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Milan against Parma. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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