Predictions › United States › Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears prediction

McLane Stadium

Iowa State CyclonesAway
15.6 : 26.3
projected points
Baylor BearsHome
24%Iowa State
76%Baylor
Eagle safe pickBaylor to win
-317

Quick answer

Our prediction for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears is Baylor Bears to win, with a 76% chance. We project Iowa State Cyclones 15.6 and Baylor Bears 26.3. Our best bet is Baylor to win at -317.

Prediction
Baylor Bears to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Iowa State Cyclones 16, Baylor Bears 26
Projected total
41.8 points
Best bet
Baylor to win at -317

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Baylor to win
76% chanceFair price -3172 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Baylor Bears 76% and Iowa State Cyclones 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Baylor Bears won 3 of their last 5 and Iowa State Cyclones won 2 of their last 5. Baylor Bears come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Baylor Bears won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Iowa State Cyclones won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Baylor Bears score 29.7 points a game and let in 24.8. Iowa State Cyclones score 25.9 and let in 23.1. Their recent games average 54.5 and 49.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Baylor to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears: Baylor Bears are favourites

The big picture

Baylor Bears host Iowa State Cyclones in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 00:00 at McLane Stadium. Our prediction for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears is Baylor Bears to win, with a 76% chance. We project Iowa State Cyclones 15.6 and Baylor Bears 26.3. Our best bet is Baylor to win at -317.

Baylor Bears form

Baylor Bears have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 505 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Iowa State Cyclones form

Iowa State Cyclones have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 415 points scored and 370 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Iowa State Cyclones to score about 15.6 points and Baylor Bears about 26.3. That points to Baylor Bears to win. Our safest bet is Baylor to win at -317.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

BaylorIowa State
Games played1716
Wins88
Losses98
Points scored505415
Points conceded421370
Scored per game29.725.9
Conceded per game24.823.1
Home record6W 4L5W 3L
Away record2W 5L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Baylor spreadCoversFair
Baylor -17.534%+198
Baylor -13.543%+132
Baylor -10.550%-102
Baylor -7.558%-138
Baylor -3.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
34.568%32%
38.558%42%
41.551%49%
44.543%57%
48.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Baylor +3.5 wins if Baylor win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?

Our prediction for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears is Baylor Bears to win, with a 76% chance. We project Iowa State Cyclones 15.6 and Baylor Bears 26.3. Our best bet is Baylor to win at -317.

What is the projected score for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?

We project Iowa State Cyclones 15.6 and Baylor Bears 26.3, about 41.8 points in total.

How are Baylor Bears playing?

Baylor Bears have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 505 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Iowa State Cyclones playing?

Iowa State Cyclones have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 415 points scored and 370 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?

Baylor to win at -317, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Baylor against Iowa State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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