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Predictions › United States › Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals
NFLSun 4 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction

Paycor Stadium

Jacksonville JaguarsAway
24.4 : 26.1
projected points
Cincinnati BengalsHome
48%Jaguars
52%Bengals
Eagle safe pickUnder 58.5 points
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals is Cincinnati Bengals to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 24.4 and Cincinnati Bengals 26.1. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -290.

Prediction
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Cincinnati Bengals 26
Projected total
50.5 points
Best bet
Under 58.5 points at -290

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 58.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cincinnati Bengals 52% and Jacksonville Jaguars 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Cincinnati Bengals the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cincinnati Bengals won 4 of their last 5 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 3 of their last 5. Cincinnati Bengals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cincinnati Bengals won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Jacksonville Jaguars won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cincinnati Bengals score 25.4 points a game and let in 25.0. Jacksonville Jaguars score 27.2 and let in 19.1. Their recent games average 50.5 and 46.3 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cincinnati Bengals won 1 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 0. The last one ended Cincinnati Bengals 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 58.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bengalsrest between games-5%
  • Jaguarsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals: Cincinnati Bengals shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cincinnati Bengals host Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 at Paycor Stadium. Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals is Cincinnati Bengals to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 24.4 and Cincinnati Bengals 26.1. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -290.

Cincinnati Bengals form

Cincinnati Bengals have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 509 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Jacksonville Jaguars form

Jacksonville Jaguars have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 544 points scored and 381 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cincinnati Bengals won 1, Jacksonville Jaguars won 0. Last time out it finished Cincinnati Bengals 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 27.

Our call

We expect Jacksonville Jaguars to score about 24.4 points and Cincinnati Bengals about 26.1. That points to Cincinnati Bengals to win. Our safest bet is Under 58.5 points at -290.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BengalsJaguars
Games played2020
Wins914
Losses116
Points scored509544
Points conceded500381
Scored per game25.427.2
Conceded per game25.019.1
Home record5W 6L8W 4L
Away record4W 5L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Bengals to win52%-108-135-9.5%
Jaguars to win42%+139+114-10.6%
Bengals -2.544%+125-110-15.3%
Jaguars +2.549%+103-110-5.8%
Over 51.5 points44%+127-105-14.2%
Under 51.5 points50%+101-115-6.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Bengals spreadCoversFair
Bengals -8.531%+227
Bengals -4.542%+140
Bengals -1.550%-102
Bengals +1.559%-145
Bengals +5.570%-236
Total pointsOverUnder
43.571%29%
47.559%41%
50.550%50%
53.541%59%
57.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bengals +3.5 wins if Bengals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Trevor Lawrence Lets Rookie Keep Historic Touchdown Ball

Trevor Lawrence threw his 100th career touchdown pass to rookie Josh Cameron, who kept the ball because it was also his first NFL catch.

14 Sept 2026
NFL

Parker Washington and Jaguars Unlikely to Reach Extension Deal

Parker Washington and the Jacksonville Jaguars are unlikely to finalize a contract extension before the start of the 2026 season.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals?

Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals is Cincinnati Bengals to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 24.4 and Cincinnati Bengals 26.1. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -290.

What is the projected score for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals?

We project Jacksonville Jaguars 24.4 and Cincinnati Bengals 26.1, about 50.5 points in total.

How are Cincinnati Bengals playing?

Cincinnati Bengals have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 509 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Jacksonville Jaguars playing?

Jacksonville Jaguars have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 544 points scored and 381 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars last met?

It ended Cincinnati Bengals 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 27. In the last 1 meeting Cincinnati Bengals won 1 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 0.

What is the best bet for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals?

Under 58.5 points at -290, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bengals against Jaguars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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