Predictions › United States › Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans
NFLSun 15 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans prediction

Nissan Stadium

Jacksonville JaguarsAway
26.1 : 17.4
projected points
Tennessee TitansHome
78%Jaguars
22%Titans
Eagle safe pickJaguars to win
-455

Quick answer

Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 78% chance. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 26.1 and Tennessee Titans 17.4. Our best bet is Jaguars to win at -455.

Prediction
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Jacksonville Jaguars 26, Tennessee Titans 17
Projected total
43.5 points
Best bet
Jaguars to win at -455

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Jaguars to win
78% chancePrice -4551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tennessee Titans 22% and Jacksonville Jaguars 78%. The bookmakers agree and make Jacksonville Jaguars the favourite at -455.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tennessee Titans won 1 of their last 5 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 4 of their last 5. Jacksonville Jaguars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tennessee Titans won 2 of their last 12 games at home. Jacksonville Jaguars won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tennessee Titans score 18.6 points a game and let in 25.0. Jacksonville Jaguars score 28.9 and let in 17.2. Their recent games average 43.5 and 46.1 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tennessee Titans won 0 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 2. The last one ended Jacksonville Jaguars 41, Tennessee Titans 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Jaguars to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jaguarsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans: Jacksonville Jaguars are favourites

The big picture

Tennessee Titans host Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL on Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 at Nissan Stadium. Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 78% chance. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 26.1 and Tennessee Titans 17.4. Our best bet is Jaguars to win at -455.

Tennessee Titans form

Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 371 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Jacksonville Jaguars form

Jacksonville Jaguars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 578 points scored and 344 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tennessee Titans won 0, Jacksonville Jaguars won 2. Last time out it finished Jacksonville Jaguars 41, Tennessee Titans 7.

Our call

We expect Jacksonville Jaguars to score about 26.1 points and Tennessee Titans about 17.4. That points to Jacksonville Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Jaguars to win at -455.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TitansJaguars
Games played2020
Wins515
Losses155
Points scored371578
Points conceded500344
Scored per game18.628.9
Conceded per game25.017.2
Home record2W 10L9W 3L
Away record3W 5L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Titans to win22%+354+350-0.8%
Jaguars to win78%-345-455-5.4%
Titans +9.548%+107-110-7.7%
Jaguars -9.544%+125-110-15.1%
Over 44.5 points44%+127-115-17.5%
Under 44.5 points49%+105-105-4.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Titans spreadCoversFair
Titans +1.530%+235
Titans +5.541%+145
Titans +8.550%+102
Titans +11.558%-141
Titans +15.569%-228
Total pointsOverUnder
36.570%30%
40.559%41%
43.550%50%
46.541%59%
50.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Titans +3.5 wins if Titans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans?

Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 78% chance. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 26.1 and Tennessee Titans 17.4. Our best bet is Jaguars to win at -455.

What is the projected score for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans?

We project Jacksonville Jaguars 26.1 and Tennessee Titans 17.4, about 43.5 points in total.

How are Tennessee Titans playing?

Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 371 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Jacksonville Jaguars playing?

Jacksonville Jaguars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 578 points scored and 344 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars last met?

It ended Jacksonville Jaguars 41, Tennessee Titans 7. In the last 2 meetings Tennessee Titans won 0 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 2.

What is the best bet for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans?

Jaguars to win at -455, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Titans against Jaguars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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