Predictions › United States › Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks
NFLSun 25 Oct, 20:20 United States time

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks prediction

Lumen Field

Kansas City ChiefsAway
20.9 : 23.6
projected points
Seattle SeahawksHome
47%Chiefs
53%Seahawks
Eagle safe pickUnder 51.5 points
-261

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas City Chiefs 20.9 and Seattle Seahawks 23.6. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -261.

Prediction
Seattle Seahawks to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Kansas City Chiefs 21, Seattle Seahawks 24
Projected total
44.5 points
Best bet
Under 51.5 points at -261

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 51.5 points
72% chanceFair price -2611 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chiefs to win
44% chancePrice +1141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Seahawks 53% and Kansas City Chiefs 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Seahawks the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Seahawks won 3 of their last 5 and Kansas City Chiefs won 4 of their last 5. Kansas City Chiefs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Seahawks won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Kansas City Chiefs won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Seahawks score 25.9 points a game and let in 16.9. Kansas City Chiefs score 20.9 and let in 18.7. Their recent games average 42.9 and 39.6 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Seattle Seahawks won 0 and Kansas City Chiefs won 0. The last one ended Kansas City Chiefs 9, Seattle Seahawks 9.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 51.5 points has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks: Seattle Seahawks shade it

The big picture

Seattle Seahawks host Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 20:20 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas City Chiefs 20.9 and Seattle Seahawks 23.6. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -261.

Seattle Seahawks form

Seattle Seahawks have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 338 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Kansas City Chiefs form

Kansas City Chiefs have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 419 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Seattle Seahawks won 0, Kansas City Chiefs won 0. Last time out it finished Kansas City Chiefs 9, Seattle Seahawks 9.

Our call

We expect Kansas City Chiefs to score about 20.9 points and Seattle Seahawks about 23.6. That points to Seattle Seahawks to win. Our safest bet is Under 51.5 points at -261. Our bold bet is Chiefs to win at +114.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SeahawksChiefs
Games played2020
Wins148
Losses511
Points scored519419
Points conceded338374
Scored per game25.920.9
Conceded per game16.918.7
Home record8W 2L6W 4L
Away record6W 3L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Seahawks to win53%-112-135-8.0%
Chiefs to win44%+125+114-4.8%
Seahawks -2.549%+103-110-6.1%
Chiefs +2.548%+108-110-8.1%
Over 44.5 points49%+106-110-7.3%
Under 44.5 points49%+105-110-7.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Seahawks spreadCoversFair
Seahawks -9.531%+224
Seahawks -5.542%+138
Seahawks -2.551%-103
Seahawks +0.560%-147
Seahawks +4.570%-238
Total pointsOverUnder
37.570%30%
41.559%41%
44.550%50%
47.541%59%
51.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Seahawks +3.5 wins if Seahawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks?

Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas City Chiefs 20.9 and Seattle Seahawks 23.6. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -261.

What is the projected score for Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks?

We project Kansas City Chiefs 20.9 and Seattle Seahawks 23.6, about 44.5 points in total.

How are Seattle Seahawks playing?

Seattle Seahawks have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 338 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Kansas City Chiefs playing?

Kansas City Chiefs have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 419 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Seahawks and Kansas City Chiefs last met?

It ended Kansas City Chiefs 9, Seattle Seahawks 9. In the last 1 meeting Seattle Seahawks won 0 and Kansas City Chiefs won 0.

What is the best bet for Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks?

Under 51.5 points at -261, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seahawks against Chiefs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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