Predictions › United States › Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 16:15 United States time

Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction

Williams-Brice Stadium

Kentucky WildcatsAway
24.7 : 28.4
projected points
South Carolina GamecocksHome
44%Kentucky
56%South Carolina
Eagle safe pickSouth Carolina +7
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks is South Carolina Gamecocks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kentucky Wildcats 24.7 and South Carolina Gamecocks 28.4. Our best bet is South Carolina +7 at -307.

Prediction
South Carolina Gamecocks to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Kentucky Wildcats 25, South Carolina Gamecocks 28
Projected total
53.1 points
Best bet
South Carolina +7 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

South Carolina +7
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives South Carolina Gamecocks 56% and Kentucky Wildcats 44%. The bookmakers agree and make South Carolina Gamecocks the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    South Carolina Gamecocks won 2 of their last 5 and Kentucky Wildcats won 3 of their last 5. Kentucky Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    South Carolina Gamecocks won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Kentucky Wildcats won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    South Carolina Gamecocks score 26.0 points a game and let in 24.5. Kentucky Wildcats score 26.2 and let in 26.5. Their recent games average 50.5 and 52.7 points in total, and the market line is 53.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, South Carolina Gamecocks won 1 and Kentucky Wildcats won 0. The last one ended South Carolina Gamecocks 35, Kentucky Wildcats 13.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    South Carolina +7 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • South Carolinarest between games-5%
  • Kentuckyrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks: South Carolina Gamecocks shade it

The big picture

South Carolina Gamecocks host Kentucky Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 16:15 at Williams-Brice Stadium. Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks is South Carolina Gamecocks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kentucky Wildcats 24.7 and South Carolina Gamecocks 28.4. Our best bet is South Carolina +7 at -307.

South Carolina Gamecocks form

South Carolina Gamecocks have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 364 points scored and 343 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Kentucky Wildcats form

Kentucky Wildcats have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 367 points scored and 371 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. South Carolina Gamecocks won 1, Kentucky Wildcats won 0. Last time out it finished South Carolina Gamecocks 35, Kentucky Wildcats 13.

Our call

We expect Kentucky Wildcats to score about 24.7 points and South Carolina Gamecocks about 28.4. That points to South Carolina Gamecocks to win. Our safest bet is South Carolina +7 at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

South CarolinaKentucky
Games played1414
Wins47
Losses107
Points scored364367
Points conceded343371
Scored per game26.026.2
Conceded per game24.526.5
Home record4W 5L5W 3L
Away record0W 5L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
South Carolina to win56%-125-155-8.6%
Kentucky to win38%+162+130-12.1%
South Carolina -349%+105-108-6.0%
Kentucky +345%+122-112-14.9%
Over 53.5 points46%+118-112-13.0%
Under 53.5 points48%+109-108-8.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

South Carolina spreadCoversFair
South Carolina -10.534%+197
South Carolina -6.543%+132
South Carolina -3.551%-103
South Carolina -0.558%-138
South Carolina +3.567%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.557%43%
53.549%51%
56.542%58%
60.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. South Carolina +3.5 wins if South Carolina win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks?

Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks is South Carolina Gamecocks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kentucky Wildcats 24.7 and South Carolina Gamecocks 28.4. Our best bet is South Carolina +7 at -307.

What is the projected score for Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks?

We project Kentucky Wildcats 24.7 and South Carolina Gamecocks 28.4, about 53.1 points in total.

How are South Carolina Gamecocks playing?

South Carolina Gamecocks have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 364 points scored and 343 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Kentucky Wildcats playing?

Kentucky Wildcats have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 367 points scored and 371 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when South Carolina Gamecocks and Kentucky Wildcats last met?

It ended South Carolina Gamecocks 35, Kentucky Wildcats 13. In the last 1 meeting South Carolina Gamecocks won 1 and Kentucky Wildcats won 0.

What is the best bet for Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks?

South Carolina +7 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in South Carolina against Kentucky. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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