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Predictions › Turkey › Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce
Super LigSat 21 Nov, 16:00 Turkey time

Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce prediction

Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

KocaelisporHome
0.90 : 1.74
expected goals
FenerbahceAway
19%Kocaelispor
25%Draw
56%Fenerbahce
Eagle safe pickFenerbahce or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Fenerbahce to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kocaelispor 0.9, Fenerbahce 1.7
Best bet
Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fenerbahce or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kocaelispor 19%, the draw 25% and Fenerbahce 56%. The bookmakers agree and make Fenerbahce the favourite at 1.51.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kocaelispor took 7 points from their last 5 games and Fenerbahce took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kocaelispor won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Fenerbahce won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kocaelispor score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Fenerbahce score 2.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Kocaelispor games and 17 of Fenerbahce games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kocaelispor won 0 and Fenerbahce won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kocaelispor 0, Fenerbahce 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Fenerbahce or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kocaelisporrecent form-1%
Kocaelispor form D D W L LFenerbahce form W W L L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce: Fenerbahce are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kocaelispor host Fenerbahce in the Super Lig on Sat 21 Nov, 16:00 at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu. Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.23.

Kocaelispor form

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Fenerbahce form

Fenerbahce have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kocaelispor won 0, Fenerbahce won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kocaelispor 0, Fenerbahce 2.

Our call

We expect Kocaelispor to score about 0.9 goals and Fenerbahce about 1.7. That points to Fenerbahce to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5 at 3.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KocaelisporFenerbahce
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws55
Losses96
Goals scored1746
Goals conceded2230
Scored per game0.82.3
Conceded per game1.11.5
Home record3W 3D 3L5W 4D 2L
Away record3W 2D 6L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals30%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kocaelispor to win18%5.615.50-2.0%
A Draw24%4.124.10-0.4%
Fenerbahce to win51%1.951.51-22.4%
Over 2.5 goals49%2.031.65-19.1%
Under 2.5 goals44%2.282.05-10.1%
Kocaelispor +0.539%2.572.35-8.7%
Fenerbahce -0.554%1.841.47-20.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.66
Both teams to score50%2.01
Kocaelispor or Draw44%2.30
Fenerbahce or Draw81%1.23
Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.510%10.00
Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.534%2.95
Kocaelispor clean sheet18%5.69
Fenerbahce clean sheet41%2.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
0-111.7%
0-210.8%
1-29.7%
0-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Champions League

Dirk Kuyt Exits Fenerbahce One Week After Beating Liverpool

Dirk Kuyt has departed Fenerbahce just days after guiding the team to a Champions League victory over Liverpool.

11 hours ago
Super Lig

Osimhen Scores Twice as Galatasaray Win Heated Istanbul Derby

Victor Osimhen scored two goals in Galatasaray's 2-1 victory over Fenerbahce before arguments broke out on the pitch after the final whistle.

27 Oct 2026
Champions League

Fenerbahce Denied First European Win in Slavia Prague Draw

Mason Greenwood scored but Fenerbahce conceded late against Slavia Prague in a 2-2 Champions League draw on Tuesday.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce?

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce is Fenerbahce to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Kocaelispor to score 0.9 goals and Fenerbahce 1.7.

Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Kocaelispor last 20 games and 11 of Fenerbahce last 20.

How are Kocaelispor playing?

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Fenerbahce playing?

Fenerbahce have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Kocaelispor and Fenerbahce last met?

It ended Kocaelispor 0, Fenerbahce 2. In the last 1 meeting Kocaelispor won 0 and Fenerbahce won 1.

What is the best bet for Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce?

Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kocaelispor against Fenerbahce. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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