Predictions › France › Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain
Ligue 1Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 France time

Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Stade Océane

Le Havre ACHome
0.96 : 2.57
expected goals
Paris Saint-GermainAway
11%Le Havre AC
17%Draw
72%PSG
Eagle safe pickParis Saint-Germain draw no bet
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet at 1.17.

Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Le Havre AC 1.0, Paris Saint-Germain 2.6
Best bet
Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet at 1.17
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Paris Saint-Germain to win and both score
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Le Havre AC 11%, the draw 17% and Paris Saint-Germain 72%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris Saint-Germain the favourite at 1.24.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Le Havre AC took 1 point from their last 5 games and Paris Saint-Germain took 15 from 5. Paris Saint-Germain come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Le Havre AC won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Paris Saint-Germain won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Le Havre AC score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Paris Saint-Germain score 2.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Le Havre AC games and 14 of Paris Saint-Germain games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Le Havre AC won 0 and Paris Saint-Germain won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Le Havre AC 0, Paris Saint-Germain 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Le Havre ACrecent form-4%
  • PSGrecent form+6%
  • Le Havre ACrest between games-2%
Le Havre AC form D L L D LPSG form D W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain are favourites

The big picture

Le Havre AC host Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 on Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Océane. Our prediction for Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet at 1.17.

Le Havre AC form

Le Havre AC have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Paris Saint-Germain form

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Le Havre AC won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Le Havre AC 0, Paris Saint-Germain 1.

Our call

We expect Le Havre AC to score about 1.0 goals and Paris Saint-Germain about 2.6. That points to Paris Saint-Germain to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet at 1.17. Our bold bet is Paris Saint-Germain to win and both score at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Le Havre ACPSG
Games played2020
Wins212
Draws85
Losses103
Goals scored1946
Goals conceded2924
Scored per game0.92.3
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record1W 4D 5L5W 2D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L7W 3D 1L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals30%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Le Havre AC to win11%9.079.00-0.8%
A Draw17%6.036.50+7.8%
Paris Saint-Germain to win73%1.371.24-9.7%
Over 3.5 goals48%2.081.80-13.6%
Under 3.5 goals48%2.071.87-9.7%
Le Havre AC +1.545%2.202.05-6.9%
Paris Saint-Germain -1.551%1.971.61-18.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.12
Both teams to score58%1.74
Le Havre AC or Draw28%3.53
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw89%1.13
Le Havre AC to win and Over 2.58%12.92
Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.555%1.82
Le Havre AC clean sheet8%13.12
Paris Saint-Germain clean sheet38%2.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-29.6%
1-29.3%
0-38.3%
1-38.0%
1-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Our prediction for Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-3. We expect Le Havre AC to score 1.0 goals and Paris Saint-Germain 2.6.

Will both teams score in Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Le Havre AC last 20 games and 14 of Paris Saint-Germain last 20.

How are Le Havre AC playing?

Le Havre AC have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Paris Saint-Germain playing?

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Le Havre AC and Paris Saint-Germain last met?

It ended Le Havre AC 0, Paris Saint-Germain 1. In the last 2 meetings Le Havre AC won 0 and Paris Saint-Germain won 2.

What is the best bet for Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain draw no bet at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Le Havre AC against PSG. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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