Quick answer
Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens is Los Angeles Chargers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Baltimore Ravens 19.6. Our best bet is Over 30.5 points at -272.
- Prediction
- Los Angeles Chargers to win
- Chance
- 52%
- Projected score
- Los Angeles Chargers 18, Baltimore Ravens 20
- Projected total
- 37.8 points
- Best bet
- Over 30.5 points at -272
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Over 30.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2721 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Baltimore Ravens 48% and Los Angeles Chargers 52%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Baltimore Ravens the favourite at -118, so take care with this one.
- 2
Recent formBaltimore Ravens won 1 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Chargers won 0 of their last 5. Baltimore Ravens come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayBaltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Los Angeles Chargers won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
- 4
ScoringBaltimore Ravens score 23.1 points a game and let in 20.6. Los Angeles Chargers score 17.2 and let in 21.3. Their recent games average 43.7 and 38.5 points in total, and the market line is 37.5.
- 5
The safest betOver 30.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Ravensrest between games-5%
- Ravensteam news-4%
- Chargersteam news-1%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewLos Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens: Los Angeles Chargers shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Baltimore Ravens host Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Mon 16 Nov, 20:15 at M&T Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens is Los Angeles Chargers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Baltimore Ravens 19.6. Our best bet is Over 30.5 points at -272.
Baltimore Ravens form
Baltimore Ravens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 412 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
Los Angeles Chargers form
Los Angeles Chargers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 344 points scored and 426 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
Our call
We expect Los Angeles Chargers to score about 18.2 points and Baltimore Ravens about 19.6. That points to Los Angeles Chargers to win. Our safest bet is Over 30.5 points at -272.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ravens +3.5 wins if Ravens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens?
Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens is Los Angeles Chargers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Baltimore Ravens 19.6. Our best bet is Over 30.5 points at -272.
What is the projected score for Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens?
We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Baltimore Ravens 19.6, about 37.8 points in total.
How are Baltimore Ravens playing?
Baltimore Ravens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 412 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
How are Los Angeles Chargers playing?
Los Angeles Chargers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 344 points scored and 426 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
What is the best bet for Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens?
Over 30.5 points at -272, with a 73% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ravens against Chargers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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