Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams
NFLSun 1 Nov, 16:05 United States time

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams prediction

SoFi Stadium

Los Angeles ChargersAway
18.7 : 25.5
projected points
Los Angeles RamsHome
27%Chargers
73%Rams
Eagle safe pickRams to win
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 73% chance. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.7 and Los Angeles Rams 25.5. Our best bet is Rams to win at -305.

Prediction
Los Angeles Rams to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Los Angeles Chargers 19, Los Angeles Rams 25
Projected total
44.1 points
Best bet
Rams to win at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rams to win
73% chancePrice -3051 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chargers to win
27% chancePrice +2451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Rams 73% and Los Angeles Chargers 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Rams the favourite at -305.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Rams won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Chargers won 0 of their last 5. Los Angeles Rams come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Rams won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Los Angeles Chargers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Rams score 27.9 points a game and let in 22.0. Los Angeles Chargers score 18.6 and let in 20.6. Their recent games average 49.9 and 39.2 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Los Angeles Rams won 1 and Los Angeles Chargers won 0. The last one ended Los Angeles Chargers 18, Los Angeles Rams 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rams to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ramsteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams: Los Angeles Rams are favourites

The big picture

Los Angeles Rams host Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sun 1 Nov, 16:05 at SoFi Stadium. Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 73% chance. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.7 and Los Angeles Rams 25.5. Our best bet is Rams to win at -305.

Los Angeles Rams form

Los Angeles Rams have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 557 points scored and 440 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Chargers form

Los Angeles Chargers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 372 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Los Angeles Rams won 1, Los Angeles Chargers won 0. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Chargers 18, Los Angeles Rams 20.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Chargers to score about 18.7 points and Los Angeles Rams about 25.5. That points to Los Angeles Rams to win. Our safest bet is Rams to win at -305. Our bold bet is Chargers to win at +245.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RamsChargers
Games played2020
Wins128
Losses812
Points scored557372
Points conceded440412
Scored per game27.918.6
Conceded per game22.020.6
Home record6W 3L4W 6L
Away record6W 5L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Rams to win73%-277-305-2.5%
Chargers to win27%+265+245-5.5%
Rams -747%+112-105-7.9%
Chargers +748%+109-115-10.4%
Over 45.5 points45%+124-110-14.6%
Under 45.5 points50%-101-110-3.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Rams spreadCoversFair
Rams -13.531%+222
Rams -9.542%+137
Rams -6.551%-104
Rams -3.560%-148
Rams +0.571%-241
Total pointsOverUnder
37.570%30%
41.558%42%
44.549%51%
47.540%60%
51.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rams +3.5 wins if Rams win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 73% chance. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.7 and Los Angeles Rams 25.5. Our best bet is Rams to win at -305.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams?

We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.7 and Los Angeles Rams 25.5, about 44.1 points in total.

How are Los Angeles Rams playing?

Los Angeles Rams have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 557 points scored and 440 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Chargers playing?

Los Angeles Chargers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 372 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Chargers 18, Los Angeles Rams 20. In the last 1 meeting Los Angeles Rams won 1 and Los Angeles Chargers won 0.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams?

Rams to win at -305, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rams against Chargers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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