Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves
MLBTue 6 Oct, 18:00 United States time

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves prediction

Truist Park

Los Angeles DodgersAway
4.8 : 4.0
projected runs
Atlanta BravesHome
60%Dodgers
40%Braves
Eagle safe pickDodgers +1.5
-269

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.8 and Atlanta Braves 4.0. Our best bet is Dodgers +1.5 at -269.

Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Los Angeles Dodgers 5, Atlanta Braves 4
Projected total
8.8 runs
Best bet
Dodgers +1.5 at -269

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dodgers +1.5
73% chanceFair price -2691 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Braves to win
40% chanceFair price +1501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Braves 40% and Los Angeles Dodgers 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Braves won 3 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Braves won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Los Angeles Dodgers won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Braves score 4.5 runs a game and let in 4.1. Los Angeles Dodgers score 5.2 and let in 2.6. Their recent games average 8.6 and 7.8 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Atlanta Braves won 5 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 0. The last one ended Atlanta Braves 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dodgers +1.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bravesrest between games-5%
  • Dodgersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves: Los Angeles Dodgers are favourites

The big picture

Atlanta Braves host Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB on Tue 6 Oct, 18:00 at Truist Park. Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.8 and Atlanta Braves 4.0. Our best bet is Dodgers +1.5 at -269.

Atlanta Braves form

Atlanta Braves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 90 runs scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Dodgers form

Los Angeles Dodgers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 52 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Atlanta Braves won 5, Los Angeles Dodgers won 0. Last time out it finished Atlanta Braves 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 0.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Dodgers to score about 4.8 runs and Atlanta Braves about 4.0. That points to Los Angeles Dodgers to win. Our safest bet is Dodgers +1.5 at -269. Our bold bet is Braves to win at +150.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BravesDodgers
Games played2020
Wins1115
Losses95
Runs scored90103
Runs conceded8252
Scored per game4.55.2
Conceded per game4.12.6
Home record6W 5L8W 2L
Away record5W 4L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Braves spreadCoversFair
Braves -1.530%+234
Braves -0.539%+159
Braves +0.548%+108
Braves +1.557%-135
Braves +2.566%-198
Total runsOverUnder
6.570%30%
7.562%38%
8.553%47%
9.544%56%
10.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Braves +3.5 wins if Braves win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.8 and Atlanta Braves 4.0. Our best bet is Dodgers +1.5 at -269.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves?

We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.8 and Atlanta Braves 4.0, about 8.8 runs in total.

How are Atlanta Braves playing?

Atlanta Braves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 90 runs scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Dodgers playing?

Los Angeles Dodgers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 52 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers last met?

It ended Atlanta Braves 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 0. In the last 5 meetings Atlanta Braves won 5 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 0.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves?

Dodgers +1.5 at -269, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Braves against Dodgers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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