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Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
NBATue 6 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Chase Center

Los Angeles LakersAway
114.7 : 115.2
projected points
Golden State WarriorsHome
51%Lakers
49%Warriors
Eagle safe pickWarriors +7.5
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.7 and Golden State Warriors 115.2. Our best bet is Warriors +7.5 at -297.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Los Angeles Lakers 115, Golden State Warriors 115
Projected total
229.9 points
Best bet
Warriors +7.5 at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +7.5
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Warriors 49% and Los Angeles Lakers 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Warriors won 1 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Lakers won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Los Angeles Lakers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Warriors score 112.8 points a game and let in 119.0. Los Angeles Lakers score 109.2 and let in 109.7. Their recent games average 231.8 and 218.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Golden State Warriors won 1 and Los Angeles Lakers won 4. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 103, Los Angeles Lakers 119.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Warriorsrest between games-3%
  • Lakersrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors: Los Angeles Lakers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden State Warriors host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Tue 6 Oct, 22:00 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.7 and Golden State Warriors 115.2. Our best bet is Warriors +7.5 at -297.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2184 points scored and 2193 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Golden State Warriors won 1, Los Angeles Lakers won 4. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 103, Los Angeles Lakers 119.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Lakers to score about 114.7 points and Golden State Warriors about 115.2. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +7.5 at -297.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WarriorsLakers
Games played2020
Wins611
Losses149
Points scored22562184
Points conceded23812193
Scored per game112.8109.2
Conceded per game119.0109.7
Home record3W 6L7W 4L
Away record3W 8L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Warriors spreadCoversFair
Warriors -6.532%+215
Warriors -3.541%+146
Warriors -0.550%-101
Warriors +2.560%-148
Warriors +5.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
223.564%36%
226.558%42%
229.551%49%
232.544%56%
235.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Warriors +3.5 wins if Warriors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026
NBA

Voice of the Lakers Lawrence Tanter Dies After 43 Years with Team

The Los Angeles Lakers announced the passing of Lawrence Tanter, the legendary public address announcer who spent 43 years behind the microphone.

24 Sept 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Promises No Drama as Warriors Contract Decision Looms

Stephen Curry says his unsigned contract extension will not impact his play or the team vibe as the Golden State Warriors prepare for training camp.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.7 and Golden State Warriors 115.2. Our best bet is Warriors +7.5 at -297.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors?

We project Los Angeles Lakers 114.7 and Golden State Warriors 115.2, about 229.9 points in total.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2184 points scored and 2193 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 103, Los Angeles Lakers 119. In the last 5 meetings Golden State Warriors won 1 and Los Angeles Lakers won 4.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors?

Warriors +7.5 at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Warriors against Lakers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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