Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns
NBASun 15 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns prediction

Mortgage Matchup Center

Los Angeles LakersAway
110.5 : 111.1
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
52%Lakers
48%Suns
Eagle safe pickSuns +7.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 110.5 and Phoenix Suns 111.1. Our best bet is Suns +7.5 at -302.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Los Angeles Lakers 111, Phoenix Suns 111
Projected total
221.6 points
Best bet
Suns +7.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Suns +7.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 48% and Los Angeles Lakers 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Lakers won 4 of their last 5. Los Angeles Lakers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Los Angeles Lakers won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 109.4 points a game and let in 116.5. Los Angeles Lakers score 111.8 and let in 112.0. Their recent games average 225.9 and 223.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 3 and Los Angeles Lakers won 2. The last one ended Los Angeles Lakers 101, Phoenix Suns 73.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Suns +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sunsrest between games-5%
  • Lakersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns: Los Angeles Lakers shade it

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Sun 15 Nov, 16:00 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 110.5 and Phoenix Suns 111.1. Our best bet is Suns +7.5 at -302.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2188 points scored and 2331 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2236 points scored and 2240 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 3, Los Angeles Lakers won 2. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Lakers 101, Phoenix Suns 73.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Lakers to score about 110.5 points and Phoenix Suns about 111.1. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Suns +7.5 at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsLakers
Games played2020
Wins510
Losses1510
Points scored21882236
Points conceded23312240
Scored per game109.4111.8
Conceded per game116.5112.0
Home record4W 6L5W 6L
Away record1W 9L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -6.532%+216
Suns -3.541%+146
Suns -0.550%-101
Suns +2.560%-148
Suns +5.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
215.563%37%
218.557%43%
221.550%50%
224.544%56%
227.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 110.5 and Phoenix Suns 111.1. Our best bet is Suns +7.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns?

We project Los Angeles Lakers 110.5 and Phoenix Suns 111.1, about 221.6 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2188 points scored and 2331 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2236 points scored and 2240 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Lakers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Lakers 101, Phoenix Suns 73. In the last 5 meetings Phoenix Suns won 3 and Los Angeles Lakers won 2.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns?

Suns +7.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Lakers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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