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Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles
NFLSun 4 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction

Lincoln Financial Field

Los Angeles RamsAway
24.6 : 22.0
projected points
Philadelphia EaglesHome
58%Rams
42%Eagles
Eagle safe pickOver 39.5 points
-275

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 58% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 24.6 and Philadelphia Eagles 22.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -275.

Prediction
Los Angeles Rams to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Los Angeles Rams 25, Philadelphia Eagles 22
Projected total
46.6 points
Best bet
Over 39.5 points at -275

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 39.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Eagles 42% and Los Angeles Rams 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Rams the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Rams won 3 of their last 5. Los Angeles Rams come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Eagles won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Los Angeles Rams won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia Eagles score 20.5 points a game and let in 20.3. Los Angeles Rams score 29.7 and let in 20.4. Their recent games average 40.8 and 50.1 points in total, and the market line is 46.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Philadelphia Eagles won 1 and Los Angeles Rams won 0. The last one ended Philadelphia Eagles 33, Los Angeles Rams 26.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 39.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ramsrest between games-5%
  • Eaglesteam news-3%
  • Ramsteam news-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles: Los Angeles Rams are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Eagles host Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 at Lincoln Financial Field. Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 58% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 24.6 and Philadelphia Eagles 22.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -275.

Philadelphia Eagles form

Philadelphia Eagles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Los Angeles Rams form

Los Angeles Rams have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 594 points scored and 408 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Philadelphia Eagles won 1, Los Angeles Rams won 0. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Eagles 33, Los Angeles Rams 26.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Rams to score about 24.6 points and Philadelphia Eagles about 22.0. That points to Los Angeles Rams to win. Our safest bet is Over 39.5 points at -275.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EaglesRams
Games played2020
Wins1014
Losses106
Points scored410594
Points conceded405408
Scored per game20.529.7
Conceded per game20.320.4
Home record4W 5L7W 1L
Away record6W 5L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Eagles to win42%+141+110-12.8%
Rams to win52%-109-130-7.6%
Eagles +2.547%+114-115-12.8%
Rams -2.547%+112-105-8.0%
Over 46.5 points47%+111-110-9.7%
Under 46.5 points46%+115-110-11.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Eagles spreadCoversFair
Eagles -4.530%+233
Eagles -0.541%+144
Eagles +2.550%+101
Eagles +5.559%-141
Eagles +9.570%-229
Total pointsOverUnder
39.571%29%
43.560%40%
46.550%50%
49.541%59%
53.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Eagles +3.5 wins if Eagles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Rams Pass Rusher Myles Garrett Faces Six Week Recovery After Knee Surgery

Los Angeles Rams star Myles Garrett is expected to miss about six weeks following knee surgery, potentially delaying his return until early November.

27 Sept 2026
NFL

Saquon Barkley Set to Play Through Neck Injury Against Bears

Eagles running back Saquon Barkley plans to play through a neck stinger on Monday night against the Chicago Bears.

25 Sept 2026
NFL

Stafford and Adams Spark Rams in Dominant Win Over Injured Giants

Matthew Stafford and Davante Adams shined for the Rams in a 28-6 win while the Giants lost quarterback Jaxson Dart to an early injury.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 58% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 24.6 and Philadelphia Eagles 22.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -275.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles?

We project Los Angeles Rams 24.6 and Philadelphia Eagles 22.0, about 46.6 points in total.

How are Philadelphia Eagles playing?

Philadelphia Eagles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Rams playing?

Los Angeles Rams have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 594 points scored and 408 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams last met?

It ended Philadelphia Eagles 33, Los Angeles Rams 26. In the last 1 meeting Philadelphia Eagles won 1 and Los Angeles Rams won 0.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles?

Over 39.5 points at -275, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eagles against Rams. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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