Predictions › United States › LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers

College FootballSat 21 Nov, 15:30 United States time

LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction

Neyland Stadium

LSU TigersAway

24.7 : 24.1

projected points

Tennessee VolunteersHome

55%LSU

45%Tennessee

Eagle safe pickTennessee +11.5

-314

Quick answer

Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project LSU Tigers 24.7 and Tennessee Volunteers 24.1. Our best bet is Tennessee +11.5 at -314.

Prediction: LSU Tigers to win
Chance: 55%
Projected score: LSU Tigers 25, Tennessee Volunteers 24
Projected total: 48.8 points
Best bet: Tennessee +11.5 at -314

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tennessee +11.5

76% chanceFair price -3142 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Tennessee Volunteers 45% and LSU Tigers 55%. The bookmakers agree and make LSU Tigers the favourite at -120.
2
Recent form
Tennessee Volunteers won 4 of their last 5 and LSU Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Tennessee Volunteers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Tennessee Volunteers won 8 of their last 12 games at home. LSU Tigers won 1 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Scoring
Tennessee Volunteers score 34.6 points a game and let in 23.4. LSU Tigers score 29.6 and let in 20.0. Their recent games average 58.0 and 49.5 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.
5
The safest bet
Tennessee +11.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers: LSU Tigers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tennessee Volunteers host LSU Tigers in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 at Neyland Stadium. Our prediction for LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project LSU Tigers 24.7 and Tennessee Volunteers 24.1. Our best bet is Tennessee +11.5 at -314.

Tennessee Volunteers form

Tennessee Volunteers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 692 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

LSU Tigers form

LSU Tigers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 591 points scored and 400 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect LSU Tigers to score about 24.7 points and Tennessee Volunteers about 24.1. That points to LSU Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Tennessee +11.5 at -314.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Tennessee	LSU
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	11
Losses	7	9
Points scored	692	591
Points conceded	468	400
Scored per game	34.6	29.6
Conceded per game	23.4	20.0
Home record	8W 4L	10W 2L
Away record	5W 3L	1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Tennessee to win	45%	+122	+100	-9.9%
LSU to win	48%	+108	-120	-12.0%
Tennessee +1.5	48%	+108	-110	-8.1%
LSU -1.5	45%	+123	-110	-14.2%
Over 48.5 points	47%	+113	-110	-10.3%
Under 48.5 points	46%	+117	-110	-12.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Tennessee spread	Covers	Fair
Tennessee -6.5	33%	+205
Tennessee -2.5	42%	+137
Tennessee +0.5	50%	+101
Tennessee +3.5	57%	-133
Tennessee +7.5	67%	-199

Total points	Over	Under
41.5	67%	33%
45.5	58%	42%
48.5	51%	49%
51.5	43%	57%
55.5	34%	66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tennessee +3.5 wins if Tennessee win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

College Football

Alabama Gets Three Starters Back Before SEC Showdown at LSU

Alabama gets three injured starters back for Saturday's game against LSU, boosting both sides of the ball ahead of a massive SEC clash.

6 Nov 2026

College Football

Alabama Gets Positive Injury News Before Big Matchup With LSU

Ninth-ranked Alabama hopes to welcome back several key starters from injury as they prepare for a matchup against LSU.

2 Nov 2026

College Football

LSU Offense Finds Its Groove Under Kiffin With Dominant Win at Auburn

LSU beat Auburn 38-17 on Saturday behind a huge game from Sam Leavitt, giving Lane Kiffin his first SEC road victory with the program.

24 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers?

What is the projected score for LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers?

We project LSU Tigers 24.7 and Tennessee Volunteers 24.1, about 48.8 points in total.

How are Tennessee Volunteers playing?

How are LSU Tigers playing?

What is the best bet for LSU Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers?

Tennessee +11.5 at -314, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tennessee against LSU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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