Predictions › United Kingdom › Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
Premier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town prediction

Etihad Stadium

Manchester CityHome
2.91 : 0.96
expected goals
Ipswich TownAway
77%Man City
14%Draw
9%Ipswich
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Manchester City vs Ipswich Town is Manchester City to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Manchester City to win
Chance
77%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Manchester City 2.9, Ipswich Town 1.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Manchester City to win and both score
38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Manchester City 77%, the draw 14% and Ipswich Town 9%. The bookmakers agree and make Manchester City the favourite at 1/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Manchester City took 15 points from their last 5 games and Ipswich Town took 3 from 5. Manchester City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Manchester City won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Ipswich Town won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Manchester City score 2.4 goals a game and let in 0.8. Ipswich Town score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Manchester City games and 11 of Ipswich Town games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Man Cityrecent form+7%
  • Ipswichrecent form-4%
Man City form W W W W WIpswich form L L W L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town: Manchester City are favourites

The big picture

Manchester City host Ipswich Town in the Premier League on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Etihad Stadium. Our prediction for Manchester City vs Ipswich Town is Manchester City to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3.

Manchester City form

Manchester City have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Ipswich Town form

Ipswich Town have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Manchester City to score about 2.9 goals and Ipswich Town about 1.0. That points to Manchester City to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Manchester City to win and both score at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Man CityIpswich
Games played2020
Wins169
Draws26
Losses25
Goals scored4733
Goals conceded1529
Scored per game2.41.6
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record9W 0D 2L5W 3D 2L
Away record7W 2D 0L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets55%25%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Manchester City to win76%1/31/5-8.1%
A Draw14%6/111/2-10.2%
Ipswich Town to win7%14/19/1-30.2%
Over 3.5 goals47%11/1010/11-10.1%
Under 3.5 goals46%6/55/6-15.4%
Manchester City -1.554%5/64/7-15.4%
Ipswich Town +1.539%6/411/10-15.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1/9
Over 2.5 goals74%1/3
Over 3.5 goals54%5/6
Both teams to score59%8/11
Manchester City or Draw91%1/10
Ipswich Town or Draw23%10/3
Manchester City to win and Over 2.562%8/13
Ipswich Town to win and Over 2.56%14/1
Manchester City clean sheet38%8/5
Ipswich Town clean sheet5%18/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-08.9%
3-08.6%
2-18.5%
3-18.2%
4-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?

Our prediction for Manchester City vs Ipswich Town is Manchester City to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Manchester City to score 2.9 goals and Ipswich Town 1.0.

Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Manchester City last 20 games and 12 of Ipswich Town last 20.

How are Manchester City playing?

Manchester City have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Ipswich Town playing?

Ipswich Town have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?

Over 2.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Man City against Ipswich. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.