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Predictions › United States › Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen prediction

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Memphis TigersAway
32.4 : 29.1
projected points
Navy MidshipmenHome
60%Memphis
40%Navy
Eagle safe pickNavy +13.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 32.4 and Navy Midshipmen 29.1. Our best bet is Navy +13.5 at -299.

Prediction
Memphis Tigers to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Memphis Tigers 32, Navy Midshipmen 29
Projected total
61.5 points
Best bet
Navy +13.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Navy +13.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Navy to win
40% chanceFair price +1471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Navy Midshipmen 40% and Memphis Tigers 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Navy Midshipmen won 2 of their last 5 and Memphis Tigers won 4 of their last 5. Memphis Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Navy Midshipmen won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Memphis Tigers won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Navy Midshipmen score 29.1 points a game and let in 28.4. Memphis Tigers score 33.9 and let in 24.4. Their recent games average 57.5 and 58.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Navy Midshipmen won 1 and Memphis Tigers won 0. The last one ended Memphis Tigers 17, Navy Midshipmen 28.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Navy +13.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen: Memphis Tigers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Navy Midshipmen host Memphis Tigers in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 12:00 at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 32.4 and Navy Midshipmen 29.1. Our best bet is Navy +13.5 at -299.

Navy Midshipmen form

Navy Midshipmen have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 582 points scored and 568 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Memphis Tigers form

Memphis Tigers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 677 points scored and 487 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Navy Midshipmen won 1, Memphis Tigers won 0. Last time out it finished Memphis Tigers 17, Navy Midshipmen 28.

Our call

We expect Memphis Tigers to score about 32.4 points and Navy Midshipmen about 29.1. That points to Memphis Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Navy +13.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Navy to win at +147.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NavyMemphis
Games played2020
Wins1213
Losses87
Points scored582677
Points conceded568487
Scored per game29.133.9
Conceded per game28.424.4
Home record8W 2L8W 2L
Away record4W 6L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Navy spreadCoversFair
Navy -3.534%+197
Navy +0.543%+131
Navy +3.551%-103
Navy +6.558%-139
Navy +10.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
54.567%33%
58.557%43%
61.550%50%
64.543%57%
68.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Navy +3.5 wins if Navy win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Air Force Service Member Dies After Pregame Fall at Alamodome

A service member died after falling during a pregame rappelling demonstration before UTSA played Navy on Saturday.

18 Oct 2026
College Football

Military Service Member Injured During Pregame Rappel Fall at Alamodome

A military service member was hospitalized after falling during a pregame rappelling demonstration at the UTSA and Navy game.

18 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen?

Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 32.4 and Navy Midshipmen 29.1. Our best bet is Navy +13.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen?

We project Memphis Tigers 32.4 and Navy Midshipmen 29.1, about 61.5 points in total.

How are Navy Midshipmen playing?

Navy Midshipmen have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 582 points scored and 568 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Memphis Tigers playing?

Memphis Tigers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 677 points scored and 487 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Navy Midshipmen and Memphis Tigers last met?

It ended Memphis Tigers 17, Navy Midshipmen 28. In the last 1 meeting Navy Midshipmen won 1 and Memphis Tigers won 0.

What is the best bet for Memphis Tigers vs Navy Midshipmen?

Navy +13.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Navy against Memphis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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