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Predictions › United States › Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts
NFLSun 15 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts prediction

Lucas Oil Stadium

Miami DolphinsAway
20.7 : 22.9
projected points
Indianapolis ColtsHome
49%Dolphins
51%Colts
Eagle safe pickOver 36.5 points
-262

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Dolphins 20.7 and Indianapolis Colts 22.9. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -262.

Prediction
Indianapolis Colts to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Miami Dolphins 21, Indianapolis Colts 23
Projected total
43.6 points
Best bet
Over 36.5 points at -262

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 36.5 points
72% chanceFair price -2621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indianapolis Colts 51% and Miami Dolphins 49%. The bookmakers agree and make Indianapolis Colts the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indianapolis Colts won 1 of their last 5 and Miami Dolphins won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indianapolis Colts won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Miami Dolphins won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indianapolis Colts score 19.6 points a game and let in 27.6. Miami Dolphins score 17.3 and let in 23.1. Their recent games average 47.2 and 40.5 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 36.5 points has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis Colts shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indianapolis Colts host Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 at Lucas Oil Stadium. Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Dolphins 20.7 and Indianapolis Colts 22.9. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -262.

Indianapolis Colts form

Indianapolis Colts have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 392 points scored and 552 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Miami Dolphins form

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 346 points scored and 463 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Miami Dolphins to score about 20.7 points and Indianapolis Colts about 22.9. That points to Indianapolis Colts to win. Our safest bet is Over 36.5 points at -262.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColtsDolphins
Games played2020
Wins37
Losses1613
Points scored392346
Points conceded552463
Scored per game19.617.3
Conceded per game27.623.1
Home record2W 7L4W 7L
Away record1W 9L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Colts to win51%-103-135-11.8%
Dolphins to win42%+137+114-9.7%
Colts -2.546%+118-110-12.6%
Dolphins +2.547%+113-110-10.2%
Over 43.5 points47%+115-110-11.0%
Under 43.5 points46%+116-110-11.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Colts spreadCoversFair
Colts -9.530%+239
Colts -5.540%+147
Colts -2.549%+103
Colts +0.558%-138
Colts +4.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
36.571%29%
40.559%41%
43.550%50%
46.541%59%
50.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Colts +3.5 wins if Colts win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Colts Lock Up Adetomiwa Adebawore With New Two Year Deal

The Indianapolis Colts agreed to a two year $35 million extension with defensive tackle Adetomiwa Adebawore despite an ongoing roster overhaul.

3 Nov 2026
NFL

Larry Csonka Celebrates Unbeaten Dolphins Record After Vikings Loss

The Minnesota Vikings lost 19-15 to the Detroit Lions on Sunday, leaving the 1972 Miami Dolphins as the NFL's only undefeated team once again.

2 Nov 2026
NFL

Colts Open Trade Talks for Star Running Back Jonathan Taylor

The Indianapolis Colts are open to trading Jonathan Taylor and are listening to offers from multiple NFL teams.

31 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Dolphins 20.7 and Indianapolis Colts 22.9. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -262.

What is the projected score for Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

We project Miami Dolphins 20.7 and Indianapolis Colts 22.9, about 43.6 points in total.

How are Indianapolis Colts playing?

Indianapolis Colts have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 392 points scored and 552 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Miami Dolphins playing?

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 346 points scored and 463 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

Over 36.5 points at -262, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colts against Dolphins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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