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Predictions › United States › Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets
NFLSun 25 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction

MetLife Stadium

Miami DolphinsAway
17.3 : 20.6
projected points
New York JetsHome
38%Dolphins
62%Jets
Eagle safe pickDolphins +11.5
-283

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets is New York Jets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 17.3 and New York Jets 20.6. Our best bet is Dolphins +11.5 at -283.

Prediction
New York Jets to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Miami Dolphins 17, New York Jets 21
Projected total
38.0 points
Best bet
Dolphins +11.5 at -283

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dolphins +11.5
74% chanceFair price -2831 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dolphins to win
35% chancePrice +1801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Jets 62% and Miami Dolphins 38%. The bookmakers agree and make New York Jets the favourite at -218.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Jets won 2 of their last 5 and Miami Dolphins won 0 of their last 5. New York Jets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Jets won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Miami Dolphins won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Jets score 16.0 points a game and let in 24.4. Miami Dolphins score 16.6 and let in 23.7. Their recent games average 40.5 and 40.3 points in total, and the market line is 38.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New York Jets won 0 and Miami Dolphins won 2. The last one ended New York Jets 10, Miami Dolphins 34.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dolphins +11.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets: New York Jets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Jets host Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets is New York Jets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 17.3 and New York Jets 20.6. Our best bet is Dolphins +11.5 at -283.

New York Jets form

New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 320 points scored and 489 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Miami Dolphins form

Miami Dolphins have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 332 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New York Jets won 0, Miami Dolphins won 2. Last time out it finished New York Jets 10, Miami Dolphins 34.

Our call

We expect Miami Dolphins to score about 17.3 points and New York Jets about 20.6. That points to New York Jets to win. Our safest bet is Dolphins +11.5 at -283. Our bold bet is Dolphins to win at +180.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JetsDolphins
Games played2020
Wins66
Losses1414
Points scored320332
Points conceded489474
Scored per game16.016.6
Conceded per game24.423.7
Home record3W 7L4W 7L
Away record3W 7L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Jets to win62%-164-218-9.4%
Dolphins to win35%+183+180-1.1%
Jets -4.546%+118-110-12.6%
Dolphins +4.551%-103-110-3.0%
Over 38.5 points47%+112-110-10.1%
Under 38.5 points50%+102-110-5.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Jets spreadCoversFair
Jets -10.530%+236
Jets -6.541%+146
Jets -3.549%+102
Jets -0.558%-140
Jets +3.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
30.572%28%
34.560%40%
37.551%49%
40.542%58%
44.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

David Bailey Dominates as Jets Edge Browns 17-12

Rookie David Bailey recorded three sacks to power the New York Jets past the Cleveland Browns 17-12, ending a three game losing streak.

11 Oct 2026
NFL

Aaron Glenn Under Heavy Pressure as Jets Host Red Hot Browns

Head coach Aaron Glenn tries to save his Jets tenure against Cleveland while former teammates offer support.

11 Oct 2026
NFL

Jets Offense Missing Breece Hall and Adonai Mitchell Against Browns

The struggling New York Jets will be without key playmakers Breece Hall and Adonai Mitchell as they try to snap a three game losing streak against Cleveland.

9 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets is New York Jets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 17.3 and New York Jets 20.6. Our best bet is Dolphins +11.5 at -283.

What is the projected score for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?

We project Miami Dolphins 17.3 and New York Jets 20.6, about 38.0 points in total.

How are New York Jets playing?

New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 320 points scored and 489 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Miami Dolphins playing?

Miami Dolphins have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 332 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Jets and Miami Dolphins last met?

It ended New York Jets 10, Miami Dolphins 34. In the last 2 meetings New York Jets won 0 and Miami Dolphins won 2.

What is the best bet for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?

Dolphins +11.5 at -283, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jets against Dolphins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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