Predictions › United States › Miami Heat vs LA Clippers
NBAWed 4 Nov, 22:30 United States time

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers prediction

Intuit Dome

Miami HeatAway
114.3 : 118.6
projected points
LA ClippersHome
39%Heat
61%Clippers
Eagle safe pickHeat +12.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs LA Clippers is LA Clippers to win, with a 61% chance. We project Miami Heat 114.3 and LA Clippers 118.6. Our best bet is Heat +12.5 at -307.

Prediction
LA Clippers to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Miami Heat 114, LA Clippers 119
Projected total
232.9 points
Best bet
Heat +12.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Heat +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Heat to win
35% chanceFair price +1841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LA Clippers 61% and Miami Heat 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LA Clippers won 2 of their last 5 and Miami Heat won 1 of their last 5. LA Clippers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LA Clippers won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Miami Heat won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    LA Clippers score 114.8 points a game and let in 111.5. Miami Heat score 123.1 and let in 125.5. Their recent games average 226.3 and 248.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, LA Clippers won 0 and Miami Heat won 2. The last one ended Miami Heat 140, LA Clippers 123.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Heat +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Clippersrest between games-5%
  • Heatrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers: LA Clippers are favourites

The big picture

LA Clippers host Miami Heat in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 22:30 at Intuit Dome. Our prediction for Miami Heat vs LA Clippers is LA Clippers to win, with a 61% chance. We project Miami Heat 114.3 and LA Clippers 118.6. Our best bet is Heat +12.5 at -307.

LA Clippers form

LA Clippers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2297 points scored and 2230 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Miami Heat form

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2462 points scored and 2511 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. LA Clippers won 0, Miami Heat won 2. Last time out it finished Miami Heat 140, LA Clippers 123.

Our call

We expect Miami Heat to score about 114.3 points and LA Clippers about 118.6. That points to LA Clippers to win. Our safest bet is Heat +12.5 at -307. Our bold bet is Heat to win at +184.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ClippersHeat
Games played2020
Wins118
Losses912
Points scored22972462
Points conceded22302511
Scored per game114.8123.1
Conceded per game111.5125.5
Home record7W 4L5W 5L
Away record4W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Clippers spreadCoversFair
Clippers -10.531%+222
Clippers -7.540%+150
Clippers -4.549%+102
Clippers -1.559%-144
Clippers +1.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
226.564%36%
229.558%42%
232.551%49%
235.544%56%
238.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Clippers +3.5 wins if Clippers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Heat vs LA Clippers?

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs LA Clippers is LA Clippers to win, with a 61% chance. We project Miami Heat 114.3 and LA Clippers 118.6. Our best bet is Heat +12.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Miami Heat vs LA Clippers?

We project Miami Heat 114.3 and LA Clippers 118.6, about 232.9 points in total.

How are LA Clippers playing?

LA Clippers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2297 points scored and 2230 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Miami Heat playing?

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2462 points scored and 2511 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when LA Clippers and Miami Heat last met?

It ended Miami Heat 140, LA Clippers 123. In the last 2 meetings LA Clippers won 0 and Miami Heat won 2.

What is the best bet for Miami Heat vs LA Clippers?

Heat +12.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Clippers against Heat. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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