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Predictions › United States › Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres
MLBTue 6 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres prediction

Petco Park

Milwaukee BrewersAway
4.0 : 4.3
projected runs
San Diego PadresHome
50%Brewers
50%Padres
Eagle safe pickBrewers +2.5
-253

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres is San Diego Padres to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.0 and San Diego Padres 4.3. Our best bet is Brewers +2.5 at -253.

Prediction
San Diego Padres to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Milwaukee Brewers 4, San Diego Padres 4
Projected total
8.3 runs
Best bet
Brewers +2.5 at -253

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Brewers +2.5
72% chanceFair price -2531 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brewers to win
44% chanceFair price +1291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Diego Padres 50% and Milwaukee Brewers 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Diego Padres won 4 of their last 5 and Milwaukee Brewers won 5 of their last 5. Milwaukee Brewers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Diego Padres won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Milwaukee Brewers won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Diego Padres score 6.5 runs a game and let in 4.3. Milwaukee Brewers score 5.8 and let in 3.9. Their recent games average 10.8 and 9.7 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, San Diego Padres won 4 and Milwaukee Brewers won 1. The last one ended San Diego Padres 4, Milwaukee Brewers 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Brewers +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Padresrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres: San Diego Padres shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Diego Padres host Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB on Tue 6 Oct, 00:00 at Petco Park. Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres is San Diego Padres to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.0 and San Diego Padres 4.3. Our best bet is Brewers +2.5 at -253.

San Diego Padres form

San Diego Padres have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 129 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Milwaukee Brewers form

Milwaukee Brewers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 117 runs scored and 77 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. San Diego Padres won 4, Milwaukee Brewers won 1. Last time out it finished San Diego Padres 4, Milwaukee Brewers 3.

Our call

We expect Milwaukee Brewers to score about 4.0 runs and San Diego Padres about 4.3. That points to San Diego Padres to win. Our safest bet is Brewers +2.5 at -253. Our bold bet is Brewers to win at +129.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PadresBrewers
Games played2020
Wins1715
Losses35
Runs scored129117
Runs conceded8677
Scored per game6.55.8
Conceded per game4.33.9
Home record9W 1L8W 1L
Away record8W 2L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Padres spreadCoversFair
Padres -2.530%+230
Padres -1.539%+156
Padres -0.548%+106
Padres +0.558%-138
Padres +1.567%-202
Total runsOverUnder
6.566%34%
7.557%43%
8.548%52%
9.539%61%
10.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Padres +3.5 wins if Padres win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Joe Musgrove Makes Surprise Return to Padres Postseason Roster

The San Diego Padres have added right handed pitcher Joe Musgrove to their wild card roster for the series against the Chicago Cubs.

29 Sept 2026
MLB

Christian Yelich Makes Milwaukee History as Brewers Name First Captain

The Milwaukee Brewers have named veteran Christian Yelich the first captain in franchise history ahead of the postseason.

27 Sept 2026
MLB

Padres Lock Up Home Field for Wild Card Series Against Cubs

The San Diego Padres beat Arizona 10-7 to secure the No. 4 seed and home advantage against the Chicago Cubs.

27 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?

Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres is San Diego Padres to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.0 and San Diego Padres 4.3. Our best bet is Brewers +2.5 at -253.

What is the projected score for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?

We project Milwaukee Brewers 4.0 and San Diego Padres 4.3, about 8.3 runs in total.

How are San Diego Padres playing?

San Diego Padres have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 129 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Milwaukee Brewers playing?

Milwaukee Brewers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 117 runs scored and 77 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers last met?

It ended San Diego Padres 4, Milwaukee Brewers 3. In the last 5 meetings San Diego Padres won 4 and Milwaukee Brewers won 1.

What is the best bet for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?

Brewers +2.5 at -253, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Padres against Brewers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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