Predictions › United States › Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers
NFLSun 15 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers prediction

Lambeau Field

Minnesota VikingsAway
18.3 : 21.5
projected points
Green Bay PackersHome
46%Vikings
54%Packers
Eagle safe pickUnder 47.5 points
-282

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 18.3 and Green Bay Packers 21.5. Our best bet is Under 47.5 points at -282.

Prediction
Green Bay Packers to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Minnesota Vikings 18, Green Bay Packers 22
Projected total
39.8 points
Best bet
Under 47.5 points at -282

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 47.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Green Bay Packers 54% and Minnesota Vikings 46%. The bookmakers agree and make Green Bay Packers the favourite at -170.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Green Bay Packers won 4 of their last 5 and Minnesota Vikings won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Green Bay Packers won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Minnesota Vikings won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Green Bay Packers score 23.0 points a game and let in 22.9. Minnesota Vikings score 17.6 and let in 16.1. Their recent games average 45.9 and 33.6 points in total, and the market line is 40.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Green Bay Packers won 1 and Minnesota Vikings won 2. The last one ended Minnesota Vikings 39, Green Bay Packers 22.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 47.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Packersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers: Green Bay Packers shade it

The big picture

Green Bay Packers host Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 at Lambeau Field. Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 18.3 and Green Bay Packers 21.5. Our best bet is Under 47.5 points at -282.

Green Bay Packers form

Green Bay Packers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 460 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Minnesota Vikings form

Minnesota Vikings have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 351 points scored and 321 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Green Bay Packers won 1, Minnesota Vikings won 2. Last time out it finished Minnesota Vikings 39, Green Bay Packers 22.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Vikings to score about 18.3 points and Green Bay Packers about 21.5. That points to Green Bay Packers to win. Our safest bet is Under 47.5 points at -282.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PackersVikings
Games played2020
Wins1113
Losses97
Points scored460351
Points conceded458321
Scored per game23.017.6
Conceded per game22.916.1
Home record6W 2L6W 3L
Away record5W 7L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Packers to win54%-120-170-13.5%
Vikings to win39%+159+142-6.6%
Packers -347%+113-115-12.3%
Vikings +346%+118-105-10.3%
Over 40.5 points45%+123-115-16.2%
Under 40.5 points48%+108-105-6.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Packers spreadCoversFair
Packers -10.529%+240
Packers -6.540%+148
Packers -3.549%+104
Packers -0.558%-138
Packers +3.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
32.571%29%
36.560%40%
39.551%49%
42.542%58%
46.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Packers +3.5 wins if Packers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 18.3 and Green Bay Packers 21.5. Our best bet is Under 47.5 points at -282.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

We project Minnesota Vikings 18.3 and Green Bay Packers 21.5, about 39.8 points in total.

How are Green Bay Packers playing?

Green Bay Packers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 460 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Vikings playing?

Minnesota Vikings have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 351 points scored and 321 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings last met?

It ended Minnesota Vikings 39, Green Bay Packers 22. In the last 3 meetings Green Bay Packers won 1 and Minnesota Vikings won 2.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?

Under 47.5 points at -282, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Packers against Vikings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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