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Predictions › United States › Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Missouri TigersAway
22.6 : 29.6
projected points
Ole Miss RebelsHome
32%Missouri
68%Ole Miss
Eagle safe pickMissouri +17.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels is Ole Miss Rebels to win, with a 68% chance. We project Missouri Tigers 22.6 and Ole Miss Rebels 29.6. Our best bet is Missouri +17.5 at -301.

Prediction
Ole Miss Rebels to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Missouri Tigers 23, Ole Miss Rebels 30
Projected total
52.2 points
Best bet
Missouri +17.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri +17.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Missouri to win
32% chanceFair price +2141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ole Miss Rebels 68% and Missouri Tigers 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ole Miss Rebels won 3 of their last 5 and Missouri Tigers won 4 of their last 5. Missouri Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ole Miss Rebels won 11 of their last 12 games at home. Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ole Miss Rebels score 35.5 points a game and let in 24.1. Missouri Tigers score 29.9 and let in 19.3. Their recent games average 59.5 and 49.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Missouri +17.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels: Ole Miss Rebels are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ole Miss Rebels host Missouri Tigers in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Our prediction for Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels is Ole Miss Rebels to win, with a 68% chance. We project Missouri Tigers 22.6 and Ole Miss Rebels 29.6. Our best bet is Missouri +17.5 at -301.

Ole Miss Rebels form

Ole Miss Rebels have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 603 points scored and 409 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Missouri Tigers form

Missouri Tigers have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 478 points scored and 309 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Missouri Tigers to score about 22.6 points and Ole Miss Rebels about 29.6. That points to Ole Miss Rebels to win. Our safest bet is Missouri +17.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Missouri to win at +214.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Ole MissMissouri
Games played1716
Wins1410
Losses36
Points scored603478
Points conceded409309
Scored per game35.529.9
Conceded per game24.119.3
Home record11W 1L7W 3L
Away record3W 2L3W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ole Miss spreadCoversFair
Ole Miss -14.532%+212
Ole Miss -10.541%+141
Ole Miss -7.549%+105
Ole Miss -4.556%-129
Ole Miss -0.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.557%43%
52.549%51%
55.542%58%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ole Miss +3.5 wins if Ole Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

No. 25 Missouri Crushes No. 8 Florida to Snap Losing Streak

No. 25 Missouri dominated No. 8 Florida 45-17 on Saturday, snapping a long losing streak against ranked teams with a massive offensive display.

4 Oct 2026
College Football

Lane Kiffin Faces Emotional Return as LSU Falls to Ole Miss

LSU coach Lane Kiffin felt a wave of gratitude during his return to Oxford, but his Tigers fell 32-24 to Ole Miss after a late comeback fell short.

20 Sept 2026
College Football

Ole Miss Fans Target Lane Kiffin in Bitter Oxford Homecoming

Ole Miss fans at The Grove made their feelings clear during Lane Kiffin's return to Oxford after his controversial departure to LSU.

20 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

Our prediction for Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels is Ole Miss Rebels to win, with a 68% chance. We project Missouri Tigers 22.6 and Ole Miss Rebels 29.6. Our best bet is Missouri +17.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

We project Missouri Tigers 22.6 and Ole Miss Rebels 29.6, about 52.2 points in total.

How are Ole Miss Rebels playing?

Ole Miss Rebels have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 603 points scored and 409 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Missouri Tigers playing?

Missouri Tigers have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 478 points scored and 309 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Missouri Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels?

Missouri +17.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ole Miss against Missouri. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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