Quick answer
Our prediction for New York Jets vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Jets 18.8 and Chicago Bears 23.0. Our best bet is Bears +4 at -293.
- Prediction
- Chicago Bears to win
- Chance
- 56%
- Projected score
- New York Jets 19, Chicago Bears 23
- Projected total
- 41.8 points
- Best bet
- Bears +4 at -293
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Bears +4
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Chicago Bears 56% and New York Jets 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Chicago Bears the favourite at -148.
- 2
Recent formChicago Bears won 3 of their last 5 and New York Jets won 2 of their last 5. Chicago Bears come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayChicago Bears won 7 of their last 10 games at home. New York Jets won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringChicago Bears score 25.9 points a game and let in 22.1. New York Jets score 16.7 and let in 25.9. Their recent games average 48.0 and 42.6 points in total, and the market line is 42.5.
- 5
The safest betBears +4 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Jetsrest between games-5%
- Bearsteam news-3%
- Jetsteam news-3%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewNew York Jets vs Chicago Bears: Chicago Bears shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Chicago Bears host New York Jets in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 at Soldier Field. Our prediction for New York Jets vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Jets 18.8 and Chicago Bears 23.0. Our best bet is Bears +4 at -293.
Chicago Bears form
Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 517 points scored and 443 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.
New York Jets form
New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 334 points scored and 518 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.
Our call
We expect New York Jets to score about 18.8 points and Chicago Bears about 23.0. That points to Chicago Bears to win. Our safest bet is Bears +4 at -293.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bears +3.5 wins if Bears win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win New York Jets vs Chicago Bears?
Our prediction for New York Jets vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Jets 18.8 and Chicago Bears 23.0. Our best bet is Bears +4 at -293.
What is the projected score for New York Jets vs Chicago Bears?
We project New York Jets 18.8 and Chicago Bears 23.0, about 41.8 points in total.
How are Chicago Bears playing?
Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 517 points scored and 443 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.
How are New York Jets playing?
New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 334 points scored and 518 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.
What is the best bet for New York Jets vs Chicago Bears?
Bears +4 at -293, with a 75% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bears against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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