Predictions › United States › North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 21:00 United States time

North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction

Alamodome

North Texas Mean GreenAway
37.2 : 45.9
projected points
UTSA RoadrunnersHome
27%North Texas
73%UTSA
Eagle safe pickUnder 93.5 points
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 73% chance. We project North Texas Mean Green 37.2 and UTSA Roadrunners 45.9. Our best bet is Under 93.5 points at -306.

Prediction
UTSA Roadrunners to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
North Texas Mean Green 37, UTSA Roadrunners 46
Projected total
83.1 points
Best bet
Under 93.5 points at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 93.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

North Texas to win
29% chanceFair price +2461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UTSA Roadrunners 73% and North Texas Mean Green 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UTSA Roadrunners won 5 of their last 5 and North Texas Mean Green won 5 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UTSA Roadrunners won 9 of their last 10 games at home. North Texas Mean Green won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UTSA Roadrunners score 35.3 points a game and let in 26.2. North Texas Mean Green score 44.9 and let in 29.8. Their recent games average 61.5 and 74.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, UTSA Roadrunners won 0 and North Texas Mean Green won 1. The last one ended North Texas Mean Green 55, UTSA Roadrunners 17.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 93.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners: UTSA Roadrunners are favourites

The big picture

UTSA Roadrunners host North Texas Mean Green in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 21:00 at Alamodome. Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 73% chance. We project North Texas Mean Green 37.2 and UTSA Roadrunners 45.9. Our best bet is Under 93.5 points at -306.

UTSA Roadrunners form

UTSA Roadrunners have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 670 points scored and 498 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

North Texas Mean Green form

North Texas Mean Green have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 897 points scored and 596 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. UTSA Roadrunners won 0, North Texas Mean Green won 1. Last time out it finished North Texas Mean Green 55, UTSA Roadrunners 17.

Our call

We expect North Texas Mean Green to score about 37.2 points and UTSA Roadrunners about 45.9. That points to UTSA Roadrunners to win. Our safest bet is Under 93.5 points at -306. Our bold bet is North Texas to win at +246.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UTSANorth Texas
Games played1920
Wins1416
Losses54
Points scored670897
Points conceded498596
Scored per game35.344.9
Conceded per game26.229.8
Home record9W 1L9W 1L
Away record5W 4L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UTSA spreadCoversFair
UTSA -15.533%+199
UTSA -11.543%+133
UTSA -8.550%-101
UTSA -5.558%-137
UTSA -1.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
76.566%34%
80.556%44%
83.549%51%
86.542%58%
90.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UTSA +3.5 wins if UTSA win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners?

Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 73% chance. We project North Texas Mean Green 37.2 and UTSA Roadrunners 45.9. Our best bet is Under 93.5 points at -306.

What is the projected score for North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners?

We project North Texas Mean Green 37.2 and UTSA Roadrunners 45.9, about 83.1 points in total.

How are UTSA Roadrunners playing?

UTSA Roadrunners have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 670 points scored and 498 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are North Texas Mean Green playing?

North Texas Mean Green have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 897 points scored and 596 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when UTSA Roadrunners and North Texas Mean Green last met?

It ended North Texas Mean Green 55, UTSA Roadrunners 17. In the last 1 meeting UTSA Roadrunners won 0 and North Texas Mean Green won 1.

What is the best bet for North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners?

Under 93.5 points at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UTSA against North Texas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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