Predictions › United States › Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen prediction

Gillette Stadium

Notre Dame Fighting IrishAway
31.4 : 26.2
projected points
Navy MidshipmenHome
63%Notre Dame
37%Navy
Eagle safe pickNavy +15.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 63% chance. We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31.4 and Navy Midshipmen 26.2. Our best bet is Navy +15.5 at -299.

Prediction
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31, Navy Midshipmen 26
Projected total
57.7 points
Best bet
Navy +15.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Navy +15.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Navy to win
37% chanceFair price +1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Navy Midshipmen 37% and Notre Dame Fighting Irish 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Navy Midshipmen won 1 of their last 5 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 4 of their last 5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Navy Midshipmen won 7 of their last 7 games at home. Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 6 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Navy Midshipmen score 28.7 points a game and let in 26.4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish score 42.7 and let in 15.4. Their recent games average 55.1 and 58.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Navy Midshipmen won 0 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 1. The last one ended Notre Dame Fighting Irish 49, Navy Midshipmen 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Navy +15.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen: Notre Dame Fighting Irish are favourites

The big picture

Navy Midshipmen host Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at Gillette Stadium. Our prediction for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 63% chance. We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31.4 and Navy Midshipmen 26.2. Our best bet is Navy +15.5 at -299.

Navy Midshipmen form

Navy Midshipmen have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 488 points scored and 449 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have 16 wins and 2 losses in their last 18 games, with 768 points scored and 278 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Navy Midshipmen won 0, Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 1. Last time out it finished Notre Dame Fighting Irish 49, Navy Midshipmen 10.

Our call

We expect Notre Dame Fighting Irish to score about 31.4 points and Navy Midshipmen about 26.2. That points to Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win. Our safest bet is Navy +15.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Navy to win at +170.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

NavyNotre Dame
Games played1718
Wins1116
Losses62
Points scored488768
Points conceded449278
Scored per game28.742.7
Conceded per game26.415.4
Home record7W 0L10W 1L
Away record4W 6L6W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Navy spreadCoversFair
Navy -1.534%+196
Navy +2.543%+131
Navy +5.551%-103
Navy +8.558%-139
Navy +12.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
50.567%33%
54.558%42%
57.550%50%
60.543%57%
64.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Navy +3.5 wins if Navy win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen?

Our prediction for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 63% chance. We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31.4 and Navy Midshipmen 26.2. Our best bet is Navy +15.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen?

We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31.4 and Navy Midshipmen 26.2, about 57.7 points in total.

How are Navy Midshipmen playing?

Navy Midshipmen have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 488 points scored and 449 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Notre Dame Fighting Irish playing?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have 16 wins and 2 losses in their last 18 games, with 768 points scored and 278 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Navy Midshipmen and Notre Dame Fighting Irish last met?

It ended Notre Dame Fighting Irish 49, Navy Midshipmen 10. In the last 1 meeting Navy Midshipmen won 0 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 1.

What is the best bet for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen?

Navy +15.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Navy against Notre Dame. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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