Predictions › United States › Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers
NBATue 10 Nov, 23:00 United States time

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction

Moda Center

Oklahoma City ThunderAway
112.8 : 112.1
projected points
Portland Trail BlazersHome
55%Thunder
45%Trail Blazers
Eagle safe pickThunder +7.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 112.8 and Portland Trail Blazers 112.1. Our best bet is Thunder +7.5 at -308.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Oklahoma City Thunder 113, Portland Trail Blazers 112
Projected total
225.0 points
Best bet
Thunder +7.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder +7.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Trail Blazers to win
45% chanceFair price +1231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Portland Trail Blazers 45% and Oklahoma City Thunder 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Portland Trail Blazers won 4 of their last 5 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 of their last 5. Portland Trail Blazers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Portland Trail Blazers won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Portland Trail Blazers score 113.8 points a game and let in 109.5. Oklahoma City Thunder score 109.8 and let in 111.7. Their recent games average 223.3 and 221.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Portland Trail Blazers won 1 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 124, Portland Trail Blazers 95.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Trail Blazersrest between games-5%
  • Thunderrest between games-5%
  • Thunderteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers: Oklahoma City Thunder shade it

The big picture

Portland Trail Blazers host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Tue 10 Nov, 23:00 at Moda Center. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 112.8 and Portland Trail Blazers 112.1. Our best bet is Thunder +7.5 at -308.

Portland Trail Blazers form

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2276 points scored and 2190 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2234 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Portland Trail Blazers won 1, Oklahoma City Thunder won 3. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 124, Portland Trail Blazers 95.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma City Thunder to score about 112.8 points and Portland Trail Blazers about 112.1. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder +7.5 at -308. Our bold bet is Trail Blazers to win at +123.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Trail BlazersThunder
Games played2020
Wins1210
Losses810
Points scored22762197
Points conceded21902234
Scored per game113.8109.8
Conceded per game109.5111.7
Home record6W 3L6W 4L
Away record6W 5L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Trail Blazers spreadCoversFair
Trail Blazers -5.531%+223
Trail Blazers -2.540%+151
Trail Blazers +0.549%+103
Trail Blazers +3.559%-143
Trail Blazers +6.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
218.564%36%
221.558%42%
224.551%49%
227.544%56%
230.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Trail Blazers +3.5 wins if Trail Blazers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers?

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 112.8 and Portland Trail Blazers 112.1. Our best bet is Thunder +7.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers?

We project Oklahoma City Thunder 112.8 and Portland Trail Blazers 112.1, about 225.0 points in total.

How are Portland Trail Blazers playing?

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2276 points scored and 2190 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2234 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Portland Trail Blazers and Oklahoma City Thunder last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 124, Portland Trail Blazers 95. In the last 4 meetings Portland Trail Blazers won 1 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers?

Thunder +7.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Trail Blazers against Thunder. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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