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Predictions › United States › Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction

FirstBank Stadium

Ole Miss RebelsAway
28.0 : 37.4
projected points
Vanderbilt CommodoresHome
26%Ole Miss
74%Vanderbilt
Eagle safe pickOle Miss +19.5
-291

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 74% chance. We project Ole Miss Rebels 28.0 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.4. Our best bet is Ole Miss +19.5 at -291.

Prediction
Vanderbilt Commodores to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Ole Miss Rebels 28, Vanderbilt Commodores 37
Projected total
65.4 points
Best bet
Ole Miss +19.5 at -291

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ole Miss +19.5
74% chanceFair price -2911 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ole Miss to win
27% chanceFair price +2751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vanderbilt Commodores 74% and Ole Miss Rebels 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 3 of their last 5 and Ole Miss Rebels won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Ole Miss Rebels won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vanderbilt Commodores score 34.9 points a game and let in 24.1. Ole Miss Rebels score 35.5 and let in 24.1. Their recent games average 59.0 and 59.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Ole Miss +19.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores: Vanderbilt Commodores are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vanderbilt Commodores host Ole Miss Rebels in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 at FirstBank Stadium. Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 74% chance. We project Ole Miss Rebels 28.0 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.4. Our best bet is Ole Miss +19.5 at -291.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 524 points scored and 361 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Ole Miss Rebels form

Ole Miss Rebels have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 603 points scored and 409 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ole Miss Rebels to score about 28.0 points and Vanderbilt Commodores about 37.4. That points to Vanderbilt Commodores to win. Our safest bet is Ole Miss +19.5 at -291. Our bold bet is Ole Miss to win at +275.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

VanderbiltOle Miss
Games played1517
Wins1114
Losses43
Points scored524603
Points conceded361409
Scored per game34.935.5
Conceded per game24.124.1
Home record9W 1L11W 1L
Away record2W 3L3W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Vanderbilt spreadCoversFair
Vanderbilt -16.533%+205
Vanderbilt -12.542%+137
Vanderbilt -9.550%+101
Vanderbilt -6.557%-133
Vanderbilt -2.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
58.567%33%
62.557%43%
65.550%50%
68.542%58%
72.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vanderbilt +3.5 wins if Vanderbilt win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Lane Kiffin Faces Emotional Return as LSU Falls to Ole Miss

LSU coach Lane Kiffin felt a wave of gratitude during his return to Oxford, but his Tigers fell 32-24 to Ole Miss after a late comeback fell short.

20 Sept 2026
College Football

Ole Miss Fans Target Lane Kiffin in Bitter Oxford Homecoming

Ole Miss fans at The Grove made their feelings clear during Lane Kiffin's return to Oxford after his controversial departure to LSU.

20 Sept 2026
College Football

Ole Miss Downs LSU but Golding Keeps Eyes on Bigger Prize

Ole Miss celebrated a sweet 32-24 win over former coach Lane Kiffin and LSU, but Pete Golding insists the Rebels have much bigger goals this season.

20 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 74% chance. We project Ole Miss Rebels 28.0 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.4. Our best bet is Ole Miss +19.5 at -291.

What is the projected score for Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

We project Ole Miss Rebels 28.0 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.4, about 65.4 points in total.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 524 points scored and 361 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Ole Miss Rebels playing?

Ole Miss Rebels have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 603 points scored and 409 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Ole Miss +19.5 at -291, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vanderbilt against Ole Miss. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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