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College FootballSat 7 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction

Ohio Stadium

Oregon DucksAway
16.0 : 30.4
projected points
Ohio State BuckeyesHome
18%Oregon
82%Ohio State
Eagle safe pickOhio State to win
-599

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 82% chance. We project Oregon Ducks 16.0 and Ohio State Buckeyes 30.4. Our best bet is Ohio State to win at -599.

Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Oregon Ducks 16, Ohio State Buckeyes 30
Projected total
46.5 points
Best bet
Ohio State to win at -599

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ohio State to win
82% chancePrice -5991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ohio State Buckeyes 82% and Oregon Ducks 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Ohio State Buckeyes the favourite at -599.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ohio State Buckeyes won 5 of their last 5 and Oregon Ducks won 3 of their last 5. Ohio State Buckeyes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ohio State Buckeyes won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Oregon Ducks won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ohio State Buckeyes score 34.7 points a game and let in 11.4. Oregon Ducks score 32.9 and let in 19.9. Their recent games average 46.1 and 52.8 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Ohio State to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oregonteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes: Ohio State Buckeyes are favourites

The big picture

Ohio State Buckeyes host Oregon Ducks in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 at Ohio Stadium. Our prediction for Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 82% chance. We project Oregon Ducks 16.0 and Ohio State Buckeyes 30.4. Our best bet is Ohio State to win at -599.

Ohio State Buckeyes form

Ohio State Buckeyes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 659 points scored and 217 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Oregon Ducks form

Oregon Ducks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 658 points scored and 397 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oregon Ducks to score about 16.0 points and Ohio State Buckeyes about 30.4. That points to Ohio State Buckeyes to win. Our safest bet is Ohio State to win at -599.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Ohio StateOregon
Games played1920
Wins1615
Losses35
Points scored659658
Points conceded217397
Scored per game34.732.9
Conceded per game11.419.9
Home record9W 2L8W 2L
Away record7W 1L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Ohio State to win82%-467-599-3.9%
Oregon to win18%+459+440-3.4%
Ohio State -1448%+110-110-8.9%
Oregon +1446%+116-110-11.7%
Over 45.5 points49%+106-110-7.1%
Under 45.5 points45%+121-110-13.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Ohio State spreadCoversFair
Ohio State -21.533%+204
Ohio State -17.542%+136
Ohio State -14.550%+101
Ohio State -11.557%-134
Ohio State -7.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
39.567%33%
43.557%43%
46.550%50%
49.542%58%
53.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ohio State +3.5 wins if Ohio State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes?

Our prediction for Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 82% chance. We project Oregon Ducks 16.0 and Ohio State Buckeyes 30.4. Our best bet is Ohio State to win at -599.

What is the projected score for Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes?

We project Oregon Ducks 16.0 and Ohio State Buckeyes 30.4, about 46.5 points in total.

How are Ohio State Buckeyes playing?

Ohio State Buckeyes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 659 points scored and 217 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Oregon Ducks playing?

Oregon Ducks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 658 points scored and 397 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes?

Ohio State to win at -599, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ohio State against Oregon. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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