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NBAThu 5 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns prediction

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Orlando MagicAway
109.8 : 111.6
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
49%Magic
51%Suns
Eagle safe pickSuns +6.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Orlando Magic 109.8 and Phoenix Suns 111.6. Our best bet is Suns +6.5 at -310.

Prediction
Phoenix Suns to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Orlando Magic 110, Phoenix Suns 112
Projected total
221.4 points
Best bet
Suns +6.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Suns +6.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Magic to win
43% chanceFair price +1321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 51% and Orlando Magic 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5 and Orlando Magic won 3 of their last 5. Orlando Magic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Orlando Magic won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 108.4 points a game and let in 115.6. Orlando Magic score 110.8 and let in 108.8. Their recent games average 224.0 and 219.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 1 and Orlando Magic won 1. The last one ended Orlando Magic 115, Phoenix Suns 111.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Suns +6.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sunsrest between games-5%
  • Magicrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns shade it

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host Orlando Magic in the NBA on Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Orlando Magic 109.8 and Phoenix Suns 111.6. Our best bet is Suns +6.5 at -310.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2168 points scored and 2312 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Orlando Magic form

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2216 points scored and 2176 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 1, Orlando Magic won 1. Last time out it finished Orlando Magic 115, Phoenix Suns 111.

Our call

We expect Orlando Magic to score about 109.8 points and Phoenix Suns about 111.6. That points to Phoenix Suns to win. Our safest bet is Suns +6.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Magic to win at +132.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsMagic
Games played2020
Wins611
Losses149
Points scored21682216
Points conceded23122176
Scored per game108.4110.8
Conceded per game115.6108.8
Home record4W 5L7W 3L
Away record2W 9L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -7.532%+209
Suns -4.541%+142
Suns -1.551%-103
Suns +1.560%-152
Suns +4.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
215.563%37%
218.557%43%
221.550%50%
224.543%57%
227.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Orlando Magic 109.8 and Phoenix Suns 111.6. Our best bet is Suns +6.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns?

We project Orlando Magic 109.8 and Phoenix Suns 111.6, about 221.4 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2168 points scored and 2312 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Orlando Magic playing?

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2216 points scored and 2176 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and Orlando Magic last met?

It ended Orlando Magic 115, Phoenix Suns 111. In the last 2 meetings Phoenix Suns won 1 and Orlando Magic won 1.

What is the best bet for Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns?

Suns +6.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Magic. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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