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Predictions › United States › Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres
NHLWed 4 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres prediction

KeyBank Center

Ottawa SenatorsAway
3.0 : 3.2
projected goals
Buffalo SabresHome
50%Senators
50%Sabres
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-455

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.0 and Buffalo Sabres 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -455.

Prediction
Buffalo Sabres to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -455

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
82% chanceFair price -4552 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Senators to win
44% chanceFair price +1271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Sabres 50% and Ottawa Senators 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Sabres won 1 of their last 5 and Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 5. Ottawa Senators come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Sabres score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.6. Ottawa Senators score 2.7 and let in 3.1. Their recent games average 6.5 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Buffalo Sabres won 2 and Ottawa Senators won 1. The last one ended Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabresrest between games-5%
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres: Buffalo Sabres shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Buffalo Sabres host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Wed 4 Nov, 19:30 at KeyBank Center. Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.0 and Buffalo Sabres 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -455.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 72 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Buffalo Sabres won 2, Ottawa Senators won 1. Last time out it finished Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 1.

Our call

We expect Ottawa Senators to score about 3.0 goals and Buffalo Sabres about 3.2. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -455. Our bold bet is Senators to win at +127.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SabresSenators
Games played2020
Wins79
Losses1311
Goals scored5854
Goals conceded7263
Scored per game2.92.7
Conceded per game3.63.1
Home record4W 6L6W 5L
Away record3W 7L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sabres spreadCoversFair
Sabres -1.530%+236
Sabres -0.545%+120
Sabres +0.562%-162
Total goalsOverUnder
5.562%38%
6.545%55%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sabres +3.5 wins if Sabres win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Brady Tkachuk Scores Amid Boos in Heated Return to Ottawa

Brady Tkachuk heard boos all night and scored a goal in his first game back in Ottawa since being traded to the Florida Panthers.

22 Oct 2026
NHL

Rasmus Dahlin Leaves Early With Injury Against Florida

Buffalo captain Rasmus Dahlin left Monday with an injury. Florida also saw goalie Jacob Markstrom exit early.

12 Oct 2026
NHL

Senators Goalie Linus Ullmark Leaves Bruins Game Early After Collision

Ottawa Senators goaltender Linus Ullmark exited Monday's game against Boston after a collision, but the move was described as precautionary.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres?

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.0 and Buffalo Sabres 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -455.

What is the projected score for Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres?

We project Ottawa Senators 3.0 and Buffalo Sabres 3.2, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 72 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 63 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Sabres and Ottawa Senators last met?

It ended Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 1. In the last 3 meetings Buffalo Sabres won 2 and Ottawa Senators won 1.

What is the best bet for Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres?

Under 8 goals at -455, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabres against Senators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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