EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › France › Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon
Ligue 1Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 France time

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon prediction

Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-GermainHome
2.25 : 1.07
expected goals
LyonAway
63%PSG
20%Draw
16%Lyon
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Paris Saint-Germain 2.3, Lyon 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Paris Saint-Germain to win and both score
32% chanceFair price 3.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Paris Saint-Germain 63%, the draw 20% and Lyon 16%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris Saint-Germain the favourite at 1.39.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Paris Saint-Germain took 15 points from their last 5 games and Lyon took 10 from 5. Paris Saint-Germain come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Paris Saint-Germain won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Lyon won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Paris Saint-Germain score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Lyon score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Paris Saint-Germain games and 11 of Lyon games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 1 and Lyon won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Paris Saint-Germain 1, Lyon 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • PSGrecent form+6%
  • Lyonrecent form+1%
  • PSGrest between games-5%
  • Lyonrest between games-5%
PSG form D W W W WLyon form D L W W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon: Paris Saint-Germain are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Paris Saint-Germain host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 at Parc des Princes. Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Paris Saint-Germain form

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Lyon form

Lyon have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Paris Saint-Germain won 1, Lyon won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Paris Saint-Germain 1, Lyon 2.

Our call

We expect Paris Saint-Germain to score about 2.3 goals and Lyon about 1.1. That points to Paris Saint-Germain to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Paris Saint-Germain to win and both score at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PSGLyon
Games played2020
Wins129
Draws56
Losses35
Goals scored4531
Goals conceded2324
Scored per game2.31.6
Conceded per game1.11.2
Home record6W 2D 2L6W 2D 3L
Away record6W 3D 1L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Paris Saint-Germain to win61%1.641.39-15.6%
A Draw19%5.175.25+1.5%
Lyon to win16%6.356.50+2.4%
Over 3.5 goals47%2.131.87-12.4%
Under 3.5 goals50%1.981.83-7.5%
Paris Saint-Germain -1.546%2.191.91-12.7%
Lyon +1.552%1.941.74-10.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.55
Over 3.5 goals42%2.36
Both teams to score59%1.68
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw84%1.20
Lyon or Draw37%2.72
Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.547%2.15
Lyon to win and Over 2.511%9.11
Paris Saint-Germain clean sheet34%2.93
Lyon clean sheet11%9.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
1-19.2%
2-09.1%
1-07.6%
3-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Champions League

Viking Stuns Bayern as PSG Hits Top Gear

Viking FK earned a dramatic draw against Bayern Munich, while Paris Saint-Germain continued their strong turnaround with five straight wins.

9 hours ago
Premier League

Kylian Mbappe Reveals How Close He Was to Joining Liverpool

Kylian Mbappe has revealed how his mother fell in love with Anfield and urged him to sign for Liverpool before he chose Paris Saint Germain.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon?

Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Paris Saint-Germain to score 2.3 goals and Lyon 1.1.

Will both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Paris Saint-Germain last 20 games and 12 of Lyon last 20.

How are Paris Saint-Germain playing?

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Lyon playing?

Lyon have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon last met?

It ended Paris Saint-Germain 1, Lyon 2. In the last 2 meetings Paris Saint-Germain won 1 and Lyon won 1.

What is the best bet for Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PSG against Lyon. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.